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FX Analysis – Gold rebounds, USDJPY whipsaw, EURUSD holds key support

14 March 2024 By Lachlan Meakin

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USD saw marginal weakness on Wednesday in a quiet news day. The US Dollar Index (DXY) pushing to lows after a strong 30yr Treasury saw yields drop and DXY briefly breaking beneath Tuesdays low of 102.72.  A turn around later in the session saw DXY retake the 50% Fib support level at 102.80 ahead of today’s Retail Sales, Jobless Claims, and PPI data.

EUR saw decent gains vs the Dollar, with EURUSD setting a weekly high of 1.0948. ECB member Villeroy spoke, saying the ECB is winning the inflation battle, but cuts are more likely appropriate in June rather than April.  EURUSD holding the key 1.09 support so far this week, with 1.10 the next major resistance level to the upside.

USDJPY was ultimately flat in a whipsawing session that saw USDJPY testing 148.00 to the upside. Before pairing gains as the Yen strengthened on a report from Reuters suggesting that early signs suggest a strong outcome in the annual wage talks that have heightened the chances that the BoJ will end NIRP next week.

Gold popped on Wednesday, bouncing off the 2151 support level and recouping most of Tuesday’s losses to head into the APAC session at 2175 USD an ounce, with the next upside resistance the all-time high at 2195.

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