Vee Leung Phan ( @TrackRecordAsia ) is the Founder of TrackRecord Asia and former Head of Trading across multiple divisions for Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley. TrackRecord Asia is a financial training academy for trading teams in banks and professional traders – designed to teach you the frameworks learnt in his days across first-class institutions. In this follow-up episode from Season 1, we covered: TrackRecord Asia Philosophy & Risk management His approach to trading Global state of affairs Hong Kong protests & China
Key trends affecting Meta
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Advantage+ and advertising efficiency: Meta’s AI-powered advertising suite was reported to have reached an annualised run rate of approximately US$60 billion. Markets may focus on whether efficiency gains are being sustained and whether the platform continues to attract new advertiser spending.
Watch: Advertising revenue growth and Advantage+ conversion rates -
Reality Labs costs: Virtual and augmented reality operations generated operating losses estimated to have exceeded US$16 billion in earlier periods. Markets look for spending discipline or signs that costs are beginning to moderate.
Watch: Reality Labs operating loss and cost trajectory -
Compute-leasing potential: Reports indicate Meta is discussing leasing data centre capacity to external AI developers, with one potential arrangement reportedly valued at up to US$10 billion.
Watch: Management commentary on compute monetisation -
Capex escalation versus free cash flow: Full-year 2026 capex guidance of US$125 billion to US$145 billion may test investor confidence if revenue growth does not clearly outpace component cost inflation.
Monitor: Free cash flow conversion and the capex to revenue ratio
EPS above US$7.30 | Advertising margins outperform and compute strategy clears
Advertising revenue grows ahead of consensus, with Advantage+ adoption exceeding management’s expectations. Reality Labs losses show signs of moderating. Management provides direct commentary on its compute-leasing framework.
Possible market reaction: The result could support Meta shares if it demonstrates that the advertising engine is sustaining efficiency gains.EPS between US$7.10 and US$7.25 | Advertising in line and capex holds
Advertising revenue meets consensus expectations, with steady conversion rates and stable pricing. No formal compute-leasing arrangement is announced, leaving markets to assess infrastructure on advertising economics alone.
Possible market reaction: Trading may remain range-bound while markets wait for clearer evidence that infrastructure outlay generates non-ad returns.EPS below US$7.05 | Component costs compress margins and ad demand softens
Rising advanced-memory and infrastructure component costs compress operating margins. Advertising pricing shows softness, while management raises the full-year capex range without clear near-term monetisation metrics.
Possible market reaction: Share price could come under pressure if the result raises questions about durable shareholder returns.


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