Market Analysis 8-12 May 2023

XAUUSD Analysis 8 – 12 May 2023 The gold price outlook is positive in the medium term. Although last week's closing of the buying pressure bar would indicate a loss of buying momentum due to the weekly selloff. But the price is still moving above the 2000 support, it is very likely that the price will continue to move above the 2000 level ...

May 9, 2023
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ECB hikes rates to 3.75%

Following the lead of the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced its decision to hike rates by 25 basis points, taking interest rates in the Eurozone to 3.75% overnight. In the lead-up to the ECB meeting, there was some market speculation for a potential 50bps hike, which saw the EUR/USD trade to a 12-month high, reaching the...

May 5, 2023
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FOMC hikes rates but signals pause

In the most recent meeting, the US Federal Reserve hiked rates by 25 basis points, as anticipated, to take interest rates in the US to 5.25%, slightly beyond the terminal rate of 5.1%. However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to the key support level of 100.80 which was last reached in April and February 2023, following the release of the rate hike ...

May 4, 2023
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BoJ Governor Ueda’s first monetary policy meeting

The Bank of Japan is due to hold its first monetary policy meeting under new Governor Ueda on the 29th of April 2023. Since his appointment, Governor Ueda has frequently indicated that the BoJ will continue with its current easing stance on monetary policy with targets for long and short-term interest rates. Although headline and core inflation run...

April 28, 2023
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Inflation growth slows for the Australian Economy

The Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) y/y was released at 6.3%, lower than the market forecast of 6.5% and from the previous data of 6.8%. With inflation growth on a clear downtrend following its peak of 8.4% in January 2023, this is likely to reduce the need for further rate increases from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The Australian...

April 26, 2023
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Market Analysis 24-28 April 2023

XAUUSD Analysis 24 – 28 April 2023 The gold price outlook is positive in the medium term. Although the close of last week's sell pressure bar indicates a loss of buying momentum. But the price is still above the 1960 support or the last high of the price in the Weekly time frame, which is very likely that the price will continue to swing o...

April 26, 2023
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Asian Session Update – AUD, NZD continue decline, Hot Japan CPI sees Yen strength

Major Asian stock indexes are following the lead from Wall St where US stocks finished broadly lower in a choppy, low volume session as economic news disappointed, Fed talking heads remained hawkish and a mixed batch of earnings. The ASX200 and Nikkei down around 0.24% while the Hang Seng down just over 0.5 a % FX Markets Have mostly c...

April 21, 2023
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Market Analysis 17-21 April 2023 – TH

XAUUSD Analysis   17 – 21 April 2023 The gold price outlook is positive in the medium term. As last week's closing of the buying bar was above the 1960 support or the latest high in price on the Weekly timeframe, it indicates the continued buying momentum that will allow the price of gold to continue. It can rise further to test the 2070...

April 18, 2023
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AUD and NZD under pressure on rising US and EU yield expectations

AUD and NZD, being cyclical currencies (cyclical currencies being ones that are extra sensitive to global risk sentiment) took a big hit in Fridays session , dropping 1.1% and 1.3% respectively against the USD and remain under pressure today. Weak retail sales out of the US on Friday didn’t help risk sentiment, but the rout really started when...

April 17, 2023
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Market Analysis 10-14 April 2023

XAUUSD Analysis 10 – 14 April 2023 The gold price outlook is positive in the medium term. As last week's closing of the buying bar was above the 1960 support or the latest high in price on the Weekly timeframe, it indicates continued buying momentum that will allow the price of gold to recover. It can rise further to test the 2070 resistan...

April 11, 2023
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FX analysis – USDJPY – Yield differentials pushing this pair higher

USDJPY The USDJPY is on the march higher again after a better than expected Non-Farm payroll figure on Friday saw sentiment shift hawkishly toward Fed monetary policy with Fed fund futures now pricing in a 70% chance of a 25bp hike at the FOMC May meeting, up from around a 50-50 split earlier in the week. The policy divergence in the US and J...

April 11, 2023
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USDJPY loses ground with Risk-On sentiment

The overall risk appetite in the market has increased this week following the news that the banking sector’s issues appear to have been resolved. As a result, the Japanese Yen’s status as a safe haven currency may have been hurt in this risk-on market environment. Paired with the renewed recovery in strength in the DXY, this has led to the U...

March 31, 2023
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AUDUSD ahead of the RBA Cash Rate decision

This week, the Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) y/y data was released at 6.8% (Forecast: 7.2% Previous: 7.4%) which signals a slowdown in inflation growth. In addition, the consecutive release of lower-than-expected CPI data highlights the possibility of a new trend of decreasing inflation for the Australian economy. With the view that infl...

March 31, 2023
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NZDUSD forms a bullish divergence

As the banking crisis subside slightly with the news of First Citizens bank’s acquisition of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), the DXY has reversed from the 103.50 price area, resuming the previous downtrend and currently trades at 102.60. This move lower on the DXY has resulted in the major currencies reversing on the lost ground to gain briefly agains...

March 28, 2023
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The DXY post-FOMC Decision

On Thursday last week, the US Federal Reserve met general market expectations by hiking rates by 25bps, taking interest rates in the US to 5.00%. While there was some speculation over a possible slowdown in the rate hikes due to the banking crisis, the decision by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to hike rates for the ninth consecutive time...

March 27, 2023
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