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Geopolitical Events

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Geopolitical Events

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The Loonie – Best Performing G10 Currencies

The Loonie Best Performing G10 Currencies After a tight campaign marred by scandals, Justin Trudeau secured another term as Prime Minister. Unlike a clear win in 2015, the Prime Minister did not pass the threshold of 170 seats and will lead a minority government. The governing party will be forced to depend on other parties to pass legislation....

October 24, 2019
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Critical Hours for Brexit

Critical Hours for Brexit As the clock ticks for Brexit, Brussels and London seem to be working harder than before on their differences for a last-minute Brexit deal. The headlines in the past 48 hours have renewed optimism that the UK and European Union may secure a deal. However, even though the negotiations appear to be moving in the right di...

October 16, 2019
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One Country, Two Systems

One Country, Two Systems The Hong Kong protests have reached a point where it is threatening the “one country, two systems” that exists between the special international financial hub and the mainland. It started with demonstrations against the extradition bill which later turned into a movement against the Hong Kong’s government. Millions...

September 5, 2019
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August – A Challenging Month for Markets

August – A Challenging Month for Markets A wave of volatility swamped the markets in August. Recession fears, yield curve inversion, and the big breach of the Yuan were the dominant headlines that alarmed investors throughout the month. Bearing the brunt of the tit-for-tat tariff hikes, the stock market saw multiple days of 1% swings with a cou...

August 29, 2019
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The European Union Top Jobs

The European Union Top Jobs The European Central Bank (“ECB”) President The European leaders nominated Christine Lagarde, a French lawyer and a politician serving as Managing Director and Chairwoman of the International Monetary Fund ("IMF") as the ECB President. The ECB is responsible for the monetary policy of the nineteen EU member countr...

July 4, 2019
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The G20 Summit: President Trump-Xi Meeting

The G20 Summit The G20 Summit is an international forum for the governments and central bank governors from 19 countries and the European Union to discuss global economic challenges. Non-member countries can also be invited to attend the summit. The Group of Twenty nations attending the summit represents more than 80% of the global GDP, which is...

June 27, 2019
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US Jobs Report

The Buraeu of Labor Statistics have released the latest jobs report for April. Let’s take a look at the latest numbers. The total non-farm payroll employment increased by 263,000 the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, beating the forecast of 190,000. Biggest job gains were in professional and business services, construction, healt...

May 3, 2019
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From Singapore to Hanoi – Summit 2.0

President Trump is on the “Tweet Rally” with positive headlines on the trade front and much confidence ahead of the Summit in Hanoi, Vietnam. Singapore Summit The Singapore Summit marked the first-ever meeting between the Head of State of North Korea and the United States. Both leaders signed a joint statement during the Summit and agr...

February 26, 2019
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Trade Deadline Delayed – “Substantial Progress”

Monday started on a buoyant note as the weekend negotiations between the US and the Chinese officials on structural issues, including intellectual property protection, technology transfer, agriculture among others were productive which encouraged President Trump to extend the 1st March deadline. Asian stocks and trade-sensitive currencies l...

February 25, 2019
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The Dalian Port – “China’s Coal Ban”

Wednesday was the bearer of bad news for Australia. Despite the buoyant employment report which briefly lifted its local currency, the Australian dollar plummeted on Westpac’s rate cut forecasts and the news of China’s Coal Ban. Simmering diplomatic tensions could be the trigger behind the ban. The news that the Dalian port in China has b...

February 21, 2019
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A Busy End of the Month

US Government Shutdown President Trump has agreed to temporarily end the shutdown, putting an end to the most extended shutdown in US history. The three-week pause initially lifted investor sentiment and helped Asian stocks push higher on Monday’s open. It is reported that the shutdown cost the economy $11 billion, which includes approximatel...

January 29, 2019
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World Economic Forum: Buzzword – Populism

 The word Populism is probably the buzzword at the World Economic Forum this year. The headlines this week were heavily dominated by the concerns of the rise of populism around the globe. “Brazil’s Bolsonaro is the Face of Populism at the Davos Forum” “Merkel encourages multilateralism in the face of populism…” “Chrystia ...

January 25, 2019
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International Monetary Fund (IMF): Growth Warnings

The World Economic Outlook has further shifted to the downside. The growth estimates for 2019 and 2020 were downgraded in October 2018 mainly due to trade tensions. The recent further downward revisions were the result of the weakening momentum in key industrialised economies. The table below depicts the “Weakening Global Expansion”: Th...

January 22, 2019
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432-202 – Biggest Defeat in Modern Times

Theresa May suffered the worst defeat in recent times in British history. The House has spoken, and Theresa May stated that the government will listen. “It is clear that the House does not support this deal, but tonight’s vote tells us nothing about what it does support.” It will be a big challenge for her to negotiate a withdrawal agr...

January 16, 2019
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Brexit- A Decisive Week

The Parliament Vote is the pivotal stage for Brexit. If the Brexit deal is accepted, Britain will exit the EU in an orderly way. However, if the proposed Brexit deal is rejected, there will be many uncertainties to follow. Market participants will have to wait and see how Brexit will unfold as and when more information or decisions will be ...

January 14, 2019
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