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これは、非公開企業が公開市場へと踏み出すタイミングです。OpenAIやSpaceXのような企業に加え、ASX上場を目指す新たな企業について、市場がその事業内容や財務状況を初めて詳しく知る機会となります。
IPOとは、「Initial（最初の）Public（公開の）Offering（売り物）」の略で、未上場企業が初めて証券取引所に株式を上場し、一般投資家に向けて売り出すことです。IPO前の株式は通常、創業者や初期従業員、ベンチャーキャピタルなど限られた投資家が保有していますが、上場後は、証券口座を持つ投資家が株式市場を通じて売買できるようになります。
トレーダーにとって、IPOは企業の株式に初めて直接アクセスできる機会となる場合があります。一方で、上場直後は過去の価格データが少なく、市場の関心や価格変動が大きくなりやすいため、リスクも高まります。
| 企業 | 推定評価額 | 取引所 | ステータス |
|---|---|---|---|
Anthropic Artificial intelligence | ~US$350 billion | Nasdaq | Rumoured |
Databricks AI and data | ~US$134 billion | Nasdaq | Expected |
Firmus Technologies AI infrastructure | ~A$6 billion | ASX | Expected |
Greencross Pet care & veterinary | ~A$4 billion plus | ASX | Rumoured |
OpenAI Artificial intelligence | ~US$850 billion | Nasdaq | Expected |
Rokt E-commerce adtech | ~US$7.9 billion | Nasdaq and ASX CDI | Expected |
SpaceX Aerospace and AI | ~US$1.5 trillion | Nasdaq | Expected |
Stripe Fintech | ~US$140 billion | NYSE/Nasdaq | Rumoured |
上場の仕組み
上場時点では、機関投資家による評価はすでにある程度織り込まれていることが一般的です。6つのプロセスを理解することで、株式が一般市場で取引を開始する前に、どのような要素が価格に反映されている可能性があるのかを把握しやすくなります
企業は、財務状況や企業構造、市場での位置づけを評価するため、主幹事証券会社を選びます。
主幹事証券会社はデューデリジェンスを実施し、必要な開示書類を所管の規制当局に提出します。
企業は、機関投資家やアナリストに対して、事業内容や成長ストーリー（エクイティ・ストーリー）を直接説明します。この段階で需要が形成され、株価に対する期待値も固まっていきます。個人投資家が株式を見る前に、すでに一定の評価や関心が市場に織り込まれているのが一般的です。
ロードショーで得られた投資家の反応を踏まえ、引受会社は最終的な公開価格と発行株式数を決定します。
株式は選定された取引所で取引を開始します。多くのトレーダーにとって、これはその株式を取引する最初の機会です。
上場後、企業は定期的に財務情報を開示し、上場先の取引所が定めるガバナンス基準を満たす必要があります。
CFDでIPOを取引する
IPO上場日は、市場心理が大きく変化しやすく、過去の価格データも限られています。こうした環境では、長期保有を前提とした投資だけではリスク管理が難しくなる場合があります。CFDなら、上昇・下落のどちらの方向にも対応しやすく、ポジションサイズも柔軟に調整できます。
上場直後の急騰にも、過熱後の調整にも対応。CFDなら、上場日以降の上昇・下落どちらにもポジションを取れます。
IPOのボラティリティは上場直後に集中しやすく、CFDはこうした短期的な値動きに適しています。
ストップロスやテイクプロフィットを活用することで、エントリー前にリスクを明確にできます。価格形成が進行中のIPOでは、こうした管理が重要です。
1つの口座から、RoktやFirmus Technologiesなどを含む米国およびオーストラリア市場の株式CFDにアクセスできます。
迅速な約定、競争力のある価格設定、リスク管理機能を備えた米国株・豪州株CFDにアクセスできます。
While all eyes are on the US AI narrative dominated by Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google, Asia has quietly been moving on AI and is home to some of the world’s most aggressive AI bets.
SoftBank is the most AI-committed company in Asia by capital deployed and ambition. CEO Masayoshi Son has declared the company in "total offence mode," having completed a $41 billion investment into OpenAI for approximately an 11% ownership stake.
Son has also launched a $100 billion initiative aimed at building a vertically integrated AI semiconductor champion (Project Izanagi), repositioning SoftBank as an "AI-era industrial holding company."
SoftBank's fortunes are now deeply tied to the success of OpenAI and Son's ability to execute his semiconductor plan that puts it in direct competition with established players.
Alibaba has committed more than US$50 billion to AI infrastructure, making it one of the largest AI capex programmes in the world.
Its Qwen family of large language models underpins a rebuilt AI-focused cloud platform, and the company has partnered with Nvidia on physical AI projects.
Alibaba Cloud is also the leading cloud provider in China. The key commercial question is whether Alibaba's can convert this cloud leadership into durable revenue growth.
However, it will have to navigate ongoing regulatory scrutiny in China and competition from local rivals like Huawei and ByteDance.
Baidu has made the most visible AI transformation of any company on this list. It has released a 2.4 trillion parameter omni-modal model (ERNIE 5.0) with approximately 70% of its search results now delivered as AI-generated rich media.
Beyond search, its Apollo Go robotaxi service is now partnering with Uber to expand into Dubai and the UK.
Its Core AI-powered business generated RMB 11.3 billion in Q4 revenue, up 48% YoY. The question now is whether that momentum is sustainable and whether the robotaxi business can scale economically.
Tencent's AI play is to allocate its GPU capacity to itself. This allows it to convert AI directly into efficiency gains across its ecosystem.
With WeChat's 1.4 billion users providing an unmatched data engine, Tencent is embedding AI across gaming, payments, cloud, and search in a way that is difficult to replicate.
This approach also offers greater resilience against AI chip export restrictions, since the compute stays internal.
The AI upside here is arguably underappreciated because it is embedded rather than a separate segment, which could also mean the market may find it harder to isolate and value that contribution.
Kakao is South Korea's dominant AI and internet platform, operating KakaoTalk, which is used by approximately 95% of South Koreans.
It is one of the most aggressively AI-focused non-Chinese tech companies in Asia, investing heavily in LLM development and AI-native services.
The domestic dominance of KakaoTalk provides a captive distribution platform for AI products in a way few companies outside China can match. The key question is whether Kakao can monetise that distribution advantage before global competitors close the gap.
Asia's AI landscape is far more complicated than a simple "follow the AI spend" narrative suggests.
China's top companies are innovating rapidly but operate under regulatory and geopolitical constraints. Japan's SoftBank is making the biggest single bet, but at a level of concentration risk that demands scrutiny. And South Korea's Kakao offers a differentiated, lower-geopolitical-risk angle.
The AI push in Asia is real. But the range of outcomes across these five names is wide, making it pivotal to understand each company's specific exposure and risk profile, not just its AI narrative.
From AI infrastructure to pet care, semiconductors, and gold exploration, here are the five top candidates most likely to list on the ASX in 2026.
What is an Initial public offering (IPO)?
Firmus Technologies is building AI-powered data centre infrastructure in Tasmania, and it may be one of the most strategically positioned tech companies in Australia right now.
Firmus is an Nvidia Cloud Partner and has joined the GPU maker's Lepton marketplace. The company has designed its modular, liquid-everywhere AI Factory platform to evolve with Nvidia's latest architectures, including Nvidia Spectrum-X Ethernet networking.
A September 2025 raise of A$330m closed at a post-money valuation of A$1.85 billion for the company. By November 2025, after a further A$500m raise, that valuation had trebled to approximately A$6 billion.
A subsequent A$100m investment from Maas Group in early 2026 confirmed the November valuation. Firmus is reported to be contemplating an ASX IPO within the next 12 months and, given the A$6 billion private valuation, any public raise is expected to be well above A$1 billion.
With Australia's growing demand for sovereign AI compute capacity and Tasmania's cool climate and renewable energy advantage for large-scale data centre operations, Firmus stands as one of the largest-scale ASX IPO candidates in 2026.
However, although market interest in Firmus appears to be growing, timing is everything when it comes to IPOs. Watch for confirmation of exact IPO timing, AI data centres sentiment, and whether Nvidia signals deepening its involvement as a strategic anchor investor post-listing.
Sydney-founded Rokt has quietly become one of Australia's most valuable private tech companies. The e-commerce adtech platform aimed at helping brands monetise the “transaction moment” is now valued at ~US$7.9 billion.
A term sheet prepared by MA Financial projected an exit share price of US$72 under base-case scenarios, when shares are freed from escrow in November 2027.
Rokt is expected to potentially dual-list in the US and on the ASX in 2026, possibly as soon as the first half of the year. IG The most widely discussed structure is a primary Nasdaq listing with an ASX CDI (CHESS Depositary Interest) structure for Australian investors, rather than a full dual listing.
Rokt’s revenue for the year ending August 2025 is projected at US$743m (up 48% year-over-year), with EBITDA forecast at US$100m and a gross profit margin of approximately 43%. It is currently projected to cross the $US1 billion annual revenue milestone by August 2026.
Amazon, Live Nation, and Uber are all reported to be Rokt customers, and the company has expanded rapidly across North America and Europe.
Whether Rokt opts for a primary Nasdaq listing with an ASX CDI structure, or a full dual listing, could significantly affect liquidity and local investor access.
Greencross, the business behind Petbarn, City Farmers, and Greencross Vets, is preparing to relist on the ASX after being taken private by US private equity firm TPG in 2019.
TPG currently owns 55% of Greencross, while AustralianSuper and the Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan (HOOPP) hold the remaining 45%.
The company reported revenue of A$2 billion for the 2025 financial year, a modest increase from A$1.95 billion in 2024. TPG paid A$675 million in equity value for the business in 2019; it sold a 45% stake in 2022 at a valuation of more than A$3.5 billion. The proposed IPO implies a valuation of more than A$4 billion.
TPG is targeting an initial public offering of at least A$700 million. The IPO will mark Greencross's return to the ASX after an eight-year absence. TPG's relatively small raise size suggests the firm is banking on strong aftermarket performance before fully exiting.
TPG's exit timeline announcement is still a watch for whether a 2026 IPO is on the cards. And whether the company pursues a traditional IPO or a trade sale, which remains an alternative path.
Morse Micro is a Sydney-based semiconductor company developing Wi-Fi HaLow chips designed for IoT applications across agriculture, logistics, smart cities, and industrial monitoring.
Morse Micro held a Series C round in September 2025, raising US$88 million, followed in November 2025 by a US$32 million pre-IPO raise, taking total funding to over A$300 million.
It is targeting an ASX listing in the next 12–18 months. The Series C was led by Japanese chip giant MegaChips and the National Reconstruction Fund Corporation.
Global IoT device connections forecast to exceed 30 billion by 2030, and Morse Micro would be a rare ASX-listed pure-play semiconductor company, which could attract significant interest from tech-focused fund managers.
Morse Micro’s Revenue traction with tier-one hardware partners ahead of listing is a watch, and whether the company seeks a concurrent US listing given the depth of US semiconductor investor appetite.
Bison Resources is a newly incorporated US-focused gold and precious metals explorer currently in the middle of its ASX IPO.
The offer closes on 20 March 2026, with an ASX listing targeted for mid-April 2026. At an indicative market capitalisation of A$13.25 million on full subscription, Bison is the most speculative name on this list by a significant margin.
The company holds four exploration projects in north-east Nevada, within the Carlin Trend (one of the world's most prolific gold-producing belts), responsible for approximately 75% of US gold output.
The IPO seeks to raise A$4.5 to A$5.5 million (22.5 to 27.5 million shares at A$0.20 per share). The team has prior experience at Sun Silver (ASX: SS1) and Black Bear Minerals, giving it a track record in ASX junior mining listings out of Nevada.
Global IPOs: What are the biggest IPOs happening globally in 2026?
Australia's 2026 IPO calendar spans the full risk spectrum. A Nvidia-backed AI infrastructure play, a billion-dollar e-commerce platform, and a junior gold explorer with its IPO already underway.
Each candidate reflects a different stage of maturity and a different investor profile. Together, they suggest the ASX could see a meaningful injection of new listings across sectors that have been largely absent from the local market in recent years.
テクノロジー・ディスラプターから防衛関連請負業者まで、市場で最も話題になっている企業の中には、新規株式公開（IPO）から株式公開を始める企業もあります。トレーダーにとって、これらの新規上場は独特の取引環境を表すこともありますが、不確実性が高まる時期でもあります。
IPOとは、企業が初めて株式を一般に公開することです。
IPOを行う前は、会社の株式は通常、創設者、初期の従業員、および個人投資家のみが保有していました。株式を公開すると、誰でも株式を購入できるようになります。
会社の規模にもよりますが、通常は地元の証券取引所に公開株式を上場します（たとえば、 ASX オーストラリアで）。ただし、バリュエーション企業の中には、本社の所在地に関係なく、ナスダックなどのグローバル証券取引所にのみ上場することを選択している企業もあります。
トレーダーにとって、IPOは一般的に企業の株式に触れる最初の機会です。ボラティリティと流動性が高まる独特の環境を作り出す可能性がありますが、価格の履歴が限られていることやセンチメント変動の影響を受けやすいことを考えると、リスクも高まります。
IPOを行う最大の要因は、より多くの資本にアクセスすることです。公開取引所に上場するということは、株式を売却することで多額の資金を調達できるということです。
また、既存の株主に流動性を提供します。創業者、初期の従業員、個人投資家は、長年の支援から利益を得るために、既存の持ち株の一部を公開市場で売却することがよくあります。
株式公開は、金銭的なメリットだけでなく、企業が自社株を買収の通貨として使用し、株式ベースの報酬を提供して人材を引き付けることができることを意味します。また、公開評価は透明性の高いベンチマークとなり、戦略的ポジショニングや将来の資金調達に役立ちます。
ただし、これにはトレードオフが伴います。公開企業は継続的な開示および報告義務を遵守しなければならず、多くの上場企業が短期的な業績に焦点を当てている場合、公的株主からの圧力が長期的な進歩の障壁となる可能性があります。
具体的な内容は法域によって異なりますが、民間企業から上場企業への移行には通常、次の段階が含まれます。
会社はまず、オファリングを管理する引受人（通常は投資銀行）を選択します。両社は協力して、会社の財務、企業構造、市場ポジショニングを評価して、上場に向けた最善のアプローチを決定します。会社が実際に上場する準備ができていることを確認するのは、大変な計画段階です。
すべての準備が整ったら、引受人は徹底的なデューデリジェンスチェックを行い、必要な開示書類を関連する規制当局に提出します。これらの文書は、会社、その経営陣、および提案されている内容について、規制当局に詳細な開示を行います。オーストラリアでは通常 ASIC に提出された目論見書、米国では SEC に提出された登録届出書です。
その後、会社の幹部と引受会社が機関投資家や市場アナリストに「ロードショー」で投資事例を提示します。このショーケースは、株式の需要を把握し、関心を集めるのに役立つように設計されています。機関投資家はIPOの利息と評価額を登録することができ、これが初期価格の決定に役立ちます。
引受会社は、ロードショーからのフィードバックと現在の市況に基づいて、最終株価を設定し、発行する株式数を決定します。株式は、オファーに参加する投資家に「プライマリーマーケット」で配分されます（株式がセカンダリーマーケットに上場される前）。このプロセスによって市場投入前の価格が設定され、企業の初期公開評価額が実質的に決まります。
上場日に、同社の株式は選択した証券取引所で取引を開始し、正式に流通市場を開きます。ほとんどのトレーダーにとって、これが直接または次のようなデリバティブを通じて株式を取引できる最初のポイントです。 株式CFD。
上場すると、その会社は厳格な報告および開示要件の対象となります。株主と定期的に連絡を取り合い、財務結果を公表し、上場している取引所のガバナンス基準を遵守しなければなりません。
ほとんどのトレーダーにとって、IPOへの参加は、株式が上場して流通市場で取引が開始された後に行われます。
株式が取引所で公開されると、投資家はブローカーやオンライン取引所を通じて現物株式を直接購入することも、次のようなデリバティブを利用することもできます。 株式CFD 原資産を所有せずにその価格でポジションを取ること。
IPO取引の最初の数日間は、ボラティリティが高くなる傾向があります。トレーダーは、潜在的な急激な価格変動を防ぐため、適切なリスク管理措置を講じていることを確認する必要があります。
IPOは、企業が一般に投資可能になったことを意味します。これにより、高成長企業への早期アクセスを提供し、ボラティリティと市場関心の高まりに牽引される独自の取引環境を作り出すことができます。
トレーダーにとって、ポジションを取る前に、プロセスの仕組み、価格設定とIPO後のパフォーマンスを左右する要因、潜在的な報酬と新規上場株式の取引リスクを比較する方法を理解することが不可欠です。
The global initial public offering (IPO) market saw a resurgence in 2025. Proceeds increased 39% to US$171.8 billion across 1,293 listings, the sharpest annual rebound since the post-pandemic boom.
That momentum is now building into 2026 for what some financial analysts speculate could be the biggest IPO year in history.
A handful of mega-cap private companies, including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, are exploring going public this year, with combined valuations that could exceed US$3 trillion.
SpaceX revenue reportedly hit US$15 billion in 2025, with analysts projecting an increase to US$22-24 billion in 2026. The company has been cash-flow positive for years, driven largely by its Starlink satellite broadband network.
Following its February 2026 all-stock acquisition of Elon Musk's AI company xAI, the combined entity also encompasses Grok AI and the social media platform X (Twitter).
Leading financial analysts have reported SpaceX is targeting a mid-2026 listing. Its next funding round is estimated to raise around US$50 billion, putting its initial market cap at US$1.5 trillion, which would make it the second-highest IPO valuation of all time.
This valuation would mean SpaceX would trade at 62–68 times projected 2026 sales. A steep premium that requires massive growth assumptions around Starlink and longer-term space-based AI ambitions.
OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, now reports more than 800 million weekly active users of its groundbreaking AI product.
Originally a nonprofit research lab, it has restructured into a for-profit entity developing large language models for consumer, enterprise, and developer applications.
OpenAI is reportedly targeting a Q4 2026 IPO, finalising a US$100 billion-plus funding round (its largest ever), which would put its valuation at US$850 billion.
However, OpenAI still needs to overcome some near-term hurdles to achieve the potential associated with such a high valuation.
It projects US$14 billion in losses in 2026 and does not expect profitability before 2029. It is facing intensified competition from Google Gemini and other AI startups cutting into its market share, and Elon Musk has filed a lawsuit against the company seeking up to US$134 billion in damages.
While OpenAI has leaned into consumer products, Anthropic has built its business around enterprise adoption. Roughly 80% of its revenue comes from business customers, and eight of the Fortune 10 are now Claude users.
Anthropic closed a US$30 billion funding round in February 2026 at a US$350 billion valuation, more than double its US$183 billion valuation from five months earlier.
Anthropic’s annualised revenue has been growing at 10x per year since 2024, well outpacing OpenAI’s growth of 3.4x per year. If this trend continues, Anthropic revenue could pass OpenAI by mid-2026. However, since July 2025, Anthropic’s growth rate has slowed down to 7x per year.
Anthropic has engaged law firm Wilson Sonsini to begin IPO preparations, and the recent appointment of former Microsoft CFO Chris Liddell to its board signals a governance push ahead of a potential late-2026 listing.
The company is not yet profitable, but its enterprise-heavy revenue mix and rapid growth trajectory make it one of the most closely watched IPO candidates this year.
Stripe processed US$1.4 trillion in total payment volume in 2024, roughly 1.3% of global GDP. Half the Fortune 100 now use Stripe, and recent moves into stablecoins and AI-to-AI "agentic commerce" payments are expanding its addressable market.
Stripe remains one of the most anticipated fintech IPOs globally, but the company has shown a lack of urgency to list in the past. Co-founder John Collison said at Davos in January 2026 that Stripe was "still not in any rush."
Rather than pursuing an IPO, Stripe has conducted tender offers every six months at rising valuations, providing employee liquidity without surrendering control.
These frequent tenders effectively function as a private-market alternative to going public. However, a traditional IPO is still on the cards in 2026, with the company's February tender offer valuing it at US$140 billion or more, and profitability since 2024 removing one of the key barriers to listing.
Databricks completed a US$5 billion funding round in February 2026 at a US$134 billion valuation.
The company's annualised revenue exceeded US$5.4 billion in January 2026, growing a massive 65% year-on-year, with AI products generating US$1.4 billion.
CEO Ali Ghodsi has said the company is prepared to go public "when the time is right," with most analysts expecting a H2 2026 listing. At US$134 billion, Databricks is valued at more than twice publicly traded rival Snowflake (~US$58 billion).
2026 has the potential to be the biggest IPO year by valuation in history. With the most likely candidates, SpaceX and Databricks, matching the total valuation of all 2025 IPOs on their own.
If major AI players like OpenAI and Anthropic, as well as world-leading payment fintech Stripe, also list before the end of the year, 2026 could see over US$3 trillion in total value added to global markets through IPOs alone.
本ページに記載されている企業、IPO候補、評価額、取引所、セクターおよび市場に関する情報は、公開時点で入手可能な公開情報に基づく参考情報であり、予告なく変更される場合があります。予定されている上場は、延期、変更または中止される可能性があります。また、本ページへの掲載は、当該企業の上場、またはGO Marketsを通じた株式もしくはCFDの取引提供を保証・示唆するものではありません。