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油价高企和美元走弱推动加元延续涨势

- 美元/加元在周二从 1.4283 高点回落后逼近 1.4200。
- 油价攀升至接近一个月高点的水平,为对商品敏感的加元提供支撑。
- 在美联储威廉姆斯发表鸽派言论且市场聚焦美国 CPI 数据之际,美元失去动能。
周三,加元(CAD)连续第二个交易日走强,油价接近月度高点,而在美联储发表鸽派言论后,美元(USD)则处于守势。美元/加元在周二一度迅速上冲至 1.4280 上方后,目前交投于 1.4200 区域,略高于 10 月交易区间底部。
加元受到美元温和走弱的支撑,此前具有影响力的纽约联邦储备银行(Fed)行长约翰-威廉姆斯(John Williams)在接受彭博社采访时表示,他认为没有必要在 2027 年进一步提高借贷成本。这些言论与市场预期明年至少加息两次形成对比,并对美元构成了一定压力。
周三的焦点是美国 9 月消费者物价指数(CPI)报告,预计该报告将确认在中东冲突引发的能源冲击下,价格压力仍然居高不下。当天晚些时候,美联储负责监管的副主席米歇尔-鲍曼(Michelle Bowman)将发表讲话,可能会为该行近期的货币政策路径提供更多线索。
油价提振加元
与此同时,原油价格继续走高,布伦特原油每桶价格仅比 105.00 美元低几美分,这为加元提供了支撑,因为石油是加拿大的主要出口商品。
据称,伊朗支持的胡塞武装周二发射的导弹击中了沙特阿美位于东部城市达曼的中央办公室。这些袭击发生在上周末对哈立德国王国际机场和利雅得一家炼油厂的致命打击之后,并加剧了人们对如果伊朗战争蔓延至海湾国家,石油供应将再次收缩的担忧。
除此之外,伊朗宣布了一项新战略,旨在打击试图穿越关键霍尔木兹海峡的船只,试图维持高油价,以削弱美国选民在中期选举前对唐纳德-特朗普总统的信心。
经济指标
美国消费者物价指数月率
通胀或通缩趋势是通过定期汇总一篮子代表性商品和服务的价格来衡量的,并将数据以消费者物价指数(CPI)的形式呈现。CPI数据由美国劳工统计局每月编制并发布。环比数据将参考月份的商品价格与前一个月进行比较。CPI是衡量通胀和购买趋势变化的关键指标。一般来说,高读数被视为对美元(USD)利好,而低读数则被视为利空。
阅读更多下一次发布: 周三 10月 14, 2026 12:30
频率: 每月
预期值: 0.6%
前值: 0.4%
来源: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
美国联邦储备委员会(Fed)有维持价格稳定和最大就业的双重使命。根据这一使命,通胀应保持在约2%的年增长率,自从全球遭受疫情以来,这一目标已成为央行指令中最薄弱的支柱,直到今天,价格压力在供应链问题和瓶颈的影响下持续上升,消费者物价指数(CPI)维持在数十年来的高位。美联储已经采取措施抑制通胀,并预计在可预见的未来将保持激进的立场
经济指标
美国消费者物价指数(年率)
通货膨胀或通货紧缩的趋势是通过定期汇总一篮子代表性商品和服务的价格来衡量的,并将数据以消费者物价指数(CPI)的形式呈现。CPI数据是由美国劳工统计局每月编制并发布的。同比读数将参考月份的商品价格与前一年同月的价格进行比较。CPI是衡量通货膨胀和购买趋势变化的关键指标。一般来说,高读数被视为对美元(USD)利好,而低读数被视为利空。
阅读更多下一次发布: 周三 10月 14, 2026 12:30
频率: 每月
预期值: 3.6%
前值: 3.4%
来源: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
美国联邦储备委员会(Fed)有着维持价格稳定和最大就业的双重使命。根据这一使命,通胀应保持在约2%的年增长率,自从全球遭受疫情以来,这一目标已成为中央银行指令中最薄弱的支柱,直到今天仍然如此。由于供应链问题和瓶颈,价格压力持续上升,消费者物价指数(CPI)维持在数十年来的高位。美联储已经采取措施抑制通胀,并预计在可预见的未来将保持激进的立场。
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