Academia
Academia

Opere en la temporada de ganancias de EE. UU.

La temporada de resultados del primer trimestre de 2026 puede provocar grandes cambios en los mercados. Manténgase al tanto de los próximos resultados, planifique su lista de seguimiento y opere con CFDs sobre acciones estadounidenses con herramientas diseñadas para operadores activos.

Empezar

Most watched this season

Apple • Microsoft • Alphabet • Amazon • Nvidia • Meta • Tesla

Opere durante la temporada de ganancias de EE. UU. con GO Markets

La temporada de resultados en EE. UU. trae consigo una oleada de actualizaciones de resultados de las principales empresas estadounidenses que cotizan en bolsa. Los resultados, las previsiones y las expectativas del mercado pueden cambiar rápidamente, lo que genera volatilidad en acciones individuales, sectores e índices más amplios.

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Empezar

Lo más visto de esta temporada

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Calendario de resultados de EE. UU.

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Noticias y análisis

AI
US Earnings
Previa de ganancias de Estados Unidos: Wall Street quiere respuestas de Meta, Amazon y Apple

Hemos pasado las tres últimas entregas de esta serie mapeando la fontanería de la economía 2026: los bancos que anclan la capital, las utilidades que suministran los electrones, y los fabricantes de chips construyendo el silicio. A medida que la temporada de reportajes de abril avanza hacia su acto final, la atención se desplaza hacia la puerta principal.

Meta, Amazon y Apple se sientan en el punto en el que la creación de IA se encuentra con los consumidores y negocios cotidianos.

Por qué el retorno de la inversión es ahora el foco

Una dura división, a veces llamada la “Gran Dispersión”, se está abriendo entre las empresas que habilitan la IA y las empresas que la monetizan. Meta y Amazon están en el centro de un ciclo masivo de gasto de capital (capex), frente a un gasto estimado en toda la industria de aproximadamente 650 mil millones de dólares a 700 mil millones de dólares en 2026.

Es por eso que las métricas de retorno de la inversión (ROI) están frente a la mente.

  1. Es Meta ¿La orientación de anuncios impulsada por la IA es lo suficientemente fuerte como para justificar su programa de gastos?
  2. Es Amazon Web Services (AWS) ¿vuelve a acelerar lo suficientemente rápido como para soportar el empuje de silicio personalizado?
  3. Can Apple mantener su valoración premium al mostrar que el ciclo del iPhone 17 es real, incluso en un mercado chino más difícil?

En 2026, la pregunta ya no es solo quién puede construir los data centers. Es quien puede convertir esas inversiones en ganancias sustentables y de alto margen. Con los mercados energéticos más tranquilos tras el reciente alto el fuego, las valoraciones tecnológicas han tenido cierto margen para respirar. Ahora el mercado quiere evidencia.

IMPORTANT: REPORTING SCHEDULES CAN CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. REPORTING DATES AND RELEASE TIMES ARE FROM COMPANY INVESTOR RELATIONS CALENDARS WHERE MARKED CONFIRMED; OTHERWISE THEY ARE GO MARKETS ESTIMATES. CONSENSUS EPS, REVENUE AND ANALYST-RANGE DATA ARE FROM THIRD-PARTY MARKET CONSENSUS SOURCES, AS OF 20 APRIL 2026 (AEST). COMPANY GUIDANCE, BACKLOG AND OPERATING METRICS ARE FROM THE LATEST COMPANY FILINGS OR RESULTS PRESENTATIONS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. FIGURES AND SCHEDULES MAY CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE.

$META | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Meta Platforms, Inc.

NASDAQ | Technology/Advertising | 29 Apr 2026
✓ CONFIRMED

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$6.69
Consensus Revenue
US$55.4bn
AUSTRALIA/ASIA 30 Apr | 6:05 am
US/LATAM 29 Apr | 4:05 pm
Market intelligence: $META

Analysis: Meta price drivers and scenarios
Ad click improvement (est.)
+3–5%
From AI-driven targeting
2026 capex estimate
~US$135bn
Market estimate range
Silicon strategy
MTIA 2nm
Broadcom co-development
Strategy note

What is MTIA 2nm? This is Meta's "home-grown" AI chip. The 2nm refers to ultra-advanced, high-efficiency technology. By building their own silicon with Broadcom, Meta aims to slash their massive electricity bills and end their total reliance on buying expensive NVIDIA hardware. If this works, it protects Meta's profit margins even if they keep spending billions on AI.

AVG
LOW US$6.30 AVG US$6.69 HIGH US$7.10

Meta has moved from its "Year of Efficiency" into what CEO Mark Zuckerberg calls the "Era of Personal Superintelligence". By April 2026, AI appears to have sharpened the company’s core advertising engine, with some reports suggesting ad click rates rose by around 3% to 5%. But the bigger strategic issue is Meta’s multi-year Broadcom partnership to co-develop custom 2nm MTIA chips, with the aim of reducing reliance on NVIDIA and lowering operating costs over time. The risk is that Meta could beat on earnings and still disappoint if management points to higher spending and a longer payoff period. The real question is whether efficiency gains are keeping pace with the capital expenditure (capex) bill.

Call focus and key signals

The Avocado AI model
Watch for ad click improvements tied to the "Avocado" AI model deployment, currently estimated to be lifting rates by up to 5%.
Signal: Monetisation efficiency
MTIA rollout status
Updates on the custom 2nm MTIA chip rollout with Broadcom will indicate Meta's long term cost structure flexibility.
Watch: Infrastructure independence
Reality Labs losses
Evidence of Reality Labs loss stabilisation would reduce the persistent drag on the overall earnings story.
Watch: Operating loss trend
Capex vs efficiency
The real question for investors is whether efficiency gains are keeping pace with the significant capex bill.
Signal: Spending productivity
Sentiment analysis: Meta Platforms

Interactive scenario analysis: $META
Select earnings outcome
Productive cycle

Spending cycle becomes productive

EPS above US$7.10, double-digit ad growth, and clear early efficiency gains from MTIA. The market may interpret that as a sign the spending cycle is becoming more productive rather than simply more expensive.
EPS level
Above US$7.10
Ad growth
Double digit
Efficiency
MTIA gains
Reaction
Strong rally
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 20 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Expanded Coverage

Beyond the chipmakers

As the "show me the money" year unfolds, discover how AI demand is impacting Tesla, NextEra, and Exxon.

Amazon: the capex bet moves to centre stage

Amazon is no longer just a retail story. It is increasingly a cloud and advertising business, with a thin-margin logistics network attached. In 2026, the narrative is centred on what reports have described as a roughly US$200 billion capex plan, aimed largely at building out AWS’s AI infrastructure.

$AMZN | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Amazon.com, Inc.

NASDAQ | Technology/Retail | 29 Apr 2026
✓ CONFIRMED

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$1.69
Consensus Revenue
~US$177.7bn
AU/ASIA 30 Apr | 6:00 am
US/LATAM 29 Apr | 4:00 pm
Market Intelligence: $AMZN

Analysis: Amazon price drivers and scenarios
AWS growth threshold
20% YoY
Market floor expectation
2026 Capex plan (est.)
~US$200bn
Largely AWS AI infrastructure
Custom silicon
Trainium 3 and 4
In-house AI chip pipeline
AVG
LOW US$1.50 AVG US$1.69 HIGH US$1.90

Amazon is no longer primarily a retail story. In 2026, the narrative centres on approximately US$200 billion in planned capex, directed largely at building out AWS's AI infrastructure. That is an extraordinary commitment, and the market is watching closely to see whether the returns are following. One metric matters most: AWS growth.

Key signals to watch

AWS growth rate
Anything materially below 20% YoY could reinforce the bear case that spending is running well ahead of returns.
Watch: AWS growth vs 20% floor
Trainium supply commitments
Early supply commitments for Trainium 3 and 4 would signal how quickly the transition to in-house chips is progressing.
Watch: Trainium 3 and 4 progress
Retail margins under tariff pressure
Management commentary on whether Section 122 tariff costs are being absorbed or passed on is vital for the non-AWS story.
Watch: Retail operating margin
Advertising segment momentum
Sustained growth here provides a high-margin earnings cushion if retail margins are squeezed by logistics or tariffs.
Watch: Advertising revenue growth
Sentiment Analysis · Amazon.com Inc.

Interactive scenario analysis: $AMZN
Select earnings outcome
Investment Landing

Spending cycle lands well

EPS above US$1.90 and AWS growth above 24% with firmer retail margins. The market interprets this as proof the massive investment cycle is delivering efficient returns.
EPS Level
Above US$1.90
AWS Signal
Above 24%
Retail Margin
Firmer
Reaction
Positive rally
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 20 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Apple: quality still needs proof

Apple has looked like the defensive favourite in hardware, helped by record free cash flow (FCF) of US$43.64 billion and the strength of its Services segment. But the latest debate is whether that defensive status can turn back into growth. Third-party shipment data has indicated a roughly 20% rise in China for iPhone 17, challenging the idea that the market is already mature.

$AAPL | Q2 FY2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Apple Inc.

NASDAQ | Consumer Technology | 30 Apr 2026
✓ CONFIRMED

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$1.91
Consensus Revenue
~US$109.0bn
AU/ASIA 01 May | 6:30 am
US/LATAM 30 Apr | 4:30 pm
Market intelligence: $AAPL

Analysis: Apple price drivers and scenarios
Free cash flow (FCF)
US$43.6bn
Record, prior period
Services run-rate target
~US$30bn
Quarterly revenue approach
China iPhone 17 shipments
+~20%
Third-party data estimate
AVG
LOW US$1.70 AVG US$1.91 HIGH US$1.94

Apple is still widely seen as a quality print, but expectations are higher now. Margin resilience alone is no longer enough. The market wants evidence that Apple Intelligence, the company’s on-device AI platform, can extend the upgrade cycle and support more recurring, high-margin Services revenue over time.

Key signals to watch

iPhone 17 demand in China
China remains the most closely watched variable. Third-party data has pointed to growth of around 20%, but earnings will provide the first company-sourced data point.
Watch: China revenue growth
Services revenue trajectory
Services is approaching a US$30 billion quarterly run rate and carries structurally higher margins. Further acceleration reduces reliance on iPhone cycle volatility.
Watch: Services revenue vs US$30bn
Apple Intelligence rollout
On-device AI is a key upgrade catalyst. Management commentary on adoption, features and international timing will shape refresh cycle expectations.
Watch: Apple intelligence milestones
Gross margin
Apple guided to a 48% to 49% range. Holding near the top signals product mix strength. A result below 48% raises questions about cost pressure.
Watch: Gross margin vs 48% to 49%
Sentiment analysis: Apple Inc.

Interactive scenario analysis: $AAPL
Select report outcome
Growth support

Support for growth narrative

EPS above US$1.94, firmer China iPhone 17 data and gross margin above 49%. The market may interpret that as support for the higher-quality growth narrative and validate the thesis that Apple Intelligence is beginning to drive a meaningful upgrade cycle.
EPS level
Above US$1.94
China demand
Firmer
Gross margin
Above 49%
Reaction
Bullish move
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 20 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Thematic risks

What could shift the picture

Three risks could change the narrative, regardless of how the numbers print.

1. Spending without visible returns

Meta and Amazon are both running enormous capex programmes, with payoff periods that stretch well beyond a single quarter. If either company delivers an in line or weaker result while also lifting full year spending guidance, the market may start to see the gap between investment and return as a structural issue rather than a temporary one. That would matter for the sector as a whole, not just for one stock.

2. China as a variable, not a constant

Apple's China story has shown some resilience in third party data, but it remains sensitive to trade policy, consumer confidence and local competition. Any signal from management that demand is softening faster than expected, or that local rivals are gaining meaningful share in the mid range and premium segments, could reset the earnings growth outlook more quickly than consensus currently assumes.

3. The K-shaped consumer backdrop

In a market where higher income consumers are holding up while lower income groups remain under pressure, ad spending patterns and device upgrade cycles can diverge sharply from headline averages. If Meta's ad pricing weakens because smaller businesses pull back, or if Apple's upgrade cycle is concentrated within a narrower demographic, results could disappoint even with broadly stable macro conditions.

Note: These thematic risks may influence sector wide risk appetite independently of headline EPS results.
The bottom line

The 2026 reality check

As this earnings season moves towards its close, the story is shifting away from survival and towards operational execution in the intelligence era.

$META

AI ad efficiency is facing its biggest test yet. Can the Broadcom silicon bet start to show up in margins?

$AMZN

AWS re-acceleration remains the critical signal. A US$200 billion capex push needs a growth rate to match.

$AAPL

Quality still needs proof. Apple Intelligence has to show it can extend the upgrade cycle, not just refresh it.

For Meta, Amazon and Apple, the test is whether heavy investment in silicon, models and infrastructure is turning into measurable cash flow and durable margins. In a more uneven economy, the market appears to be rewarding companies that can show real demand and clearer monetisation. The earnings numbers matter, but management commentary on the return on that investment may matter more.

Your next earnings setup starts here

Stay ahead of major beats, misses, and market surprises. Log in to your terminal, open a new account, or explore our dedicated earnings academy.

Need help? Contact our support team

GO Markets
•
April 20, 2026
Microsoft, Alphabet y NVIDIA se encuentran en el centro de la construcción de la infraestructura de IA, desde software empresarial y en la nube hasta chips personalizados y la demanda de centros de datos. Sus próximos resultados pueden ayudar a mostrar si un gran gasto de capital se está traduciendo en ingresos, márgenes y una ventaja competitiva duradera.
AI
US Earnings
¿Microsoft, Alphabet y NVIDIA están a punto de mostrar si la IA vale la pena el costo?

La temporada de ganancias de abril en Estados Unidos está aterrizando en un mercado que quiere algo más que una buena historia. JP Morgan ya ha marcado un listón alto con un fuerte resultado, y ahora la atención se está desplazando hacia la sala de máquinas del S&P 500: infraestructura de IA donde tres empresas están en el centro de esa historia.

Por qué esta ventana de ganancias es importante para la IA

Microsoft, Alphabet y NVIDIA no son solo participantes en el ciclo de IA, están construyendo la arquitectura física y de software de la que dependen otras empresas: los chips, las regiones de la nube, los modelos y las herramientas. Si este gasto va a entregar rendimientos, las primeras señales pueden comenzar a mostrarse en sus resultados trimestrales durante las próximas semanas.

Cada empresa representa una prueba diferente.

  1. Microsoft: Si la adopción de IA empresarial se está traduciendo en una expansión de ingresos y márgenes
  2. Alfabeto: Ya sea poseer la pila completa, desde chips hasta la nube y la distribución, es una ventaja duradera o simplemente una posición costosa para defender
  3. NVIDIA: Si el ciclo de hardware aún se mantiene, acelera o comienza a nivelarse

En 2026, la pregunta ya no es si la inversión en IA está sucediendo, los compromisos de capital son sustanciales y ya se han declarado públicamente. La pregunta es si ese gasto está generando retornos lo suficientemente rápido como para justificar la escala de esas apuestas.

IMPORTANT: REPORTING SCHEDULES CAN CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. REPORTING DATES AND RELEASE TIMES ARE FROM COMPANY INVESTOR RELATIONS CALENDARS WHERE MARKED CONFIRMED; OTHERWISE THEY ARE GO MARKETS ESTIMATES. CONSENSUS EPS, REVENUE AND ANALYST-RANGE DATA ARE FROM THIRD-PARTY MARKET CONSENSUS SOURCES, AS OF 16 APRIL 2026 (AEST). COMPANY GUIDANCE, BACKLOG AND OPERATING METRICS ARE FROM THE LATEST COMPANY FILINGS OR RESULTS PRESENTATIONS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. FIGURES AND SCHEDULES MAY CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE.

$MSFT | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Microsoft Corporation

NASDAQ | Technology | 29 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$4.04
Consensus Revenue
US$81.40bn
AU/ASIA 30 Apr | 6:05 am
US/LATAM 29 Apr | 4:05 pm
Market Intelligence: $MSFT

Analysis: Microsoft price drivers and scenarios
Azure Growth Target
37-38%
Constant currency projection
AI Contribution
+6-8 pts
Azure revenue from AI services
FY26 Capex
US$146bn
Total infrastructure spending
AVG
LOW US$3.86 AVG US$4.04 HIGH US$4.14

Microsoft is being tested on a specific question: can it turn heavy AI spending into margin expansion? A result above US$4.14 could ease concerns over "capex fatigue" and demonstrate whether Azure growth is re-accelerating alongside enterprise AI adoption.

Factors that could move the markets

Azure growth rate
Watch if constant-currency growth re-accelerates above 39%, suggesting AI workloads are filling new capacity rather than sitting idle.
Signal: Capacity Utilisation
Workplace agent adoption
The shift to autonomous agents is central. Clear enterprise uptake in Dynamics 365 supports the high-tier subscription thesis.
Signal: Software Monetisation
Maia 200 cost savings
If the in-house AI chip is lowering inference costs at production levels, gross margins may start to recover from recent compression.
Watch: Gross Margin Recovery
Regulatory backdrop
Ongoing scrutiny of cloud bundling practices remains a potential headwind; management commentary here is vital for the long-term view.
Watch: Bundling Compliance
Sentiment Analysis · Microsoft Corp.

Interactive scenario analysis: $MSFT
Select earnings outcome
AI Scaling Proof

Strong result, backed by real AI progress

EPS above US$4.14 and Azure re-acceleration above 39% could support the view that AI spending is starting to translate into commercial returns. Workplace Agents show measurable ROI and FY26 guidance is raised.
EPS Outcome
Above US$4.14
Cloud Signal
Accelerating
Guidance
Raised
Possible reaction
Strong rally
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 16 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Expanded Coverage

Beyond the chipmakers

As the "show me the money" year unfolds, discover how AI demand is impacting Tesla, NextEra, and Exxon.

Alphabet: search to infrastructure

Alphabet has transformed from a search business into a sprawling AI infrastructure play, and this result will test whether that transformation is delivering. The US$185 billion capex forecast for 2026 is extraordinary, close to double last year's spending.

EPS is expected to decline slightly year on year, precisely because that infrastructure spending is consuming capital. The question is whether Google Cloud's growth is fast enough to show a credible path back to margin recovery, and whether Ironwood, the seventh-generation custom AI chip, is proving its cost-per-query advantage at scale.

$GOOGL | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Alphabet Inc.

NASDAQ | Technology | 29 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$2.64
Consensus Revenue
US$92.14bn
AU/ASIA 30 Apr | 6:30 am
US/LATAM 29 Apr | 4:30 pm
Market Intelligence: $GOOGL

Analysis: Alphabet price drivers and scenarios
Cloud growth
48% YoY
Compared with last quarter
Ironwood TPU
10x peak
Vs previous-generation chip
2026 Capex
US$185bn
Double last year's spending
AVG
LOW US$2.50 AVG US$2.64 HIGH US$2.80

Alphabet has shifted to being viewed as a broader AI infrastructure play. The question is whether Cloud growth can support a path back to margin recovery while the massive US$185bn infrastructure buildout absorbs capital.

Factors that could move the markets

Google Cloud momentum
Markets are watching if the 48% growth rate holds, specifically among customers using Ironwood TPUs for large-scale AI.
Signal: Enterprise AI Adoption
Search & AI overview
If compute-intensive AI summaries are monetising through ads, it supports core search economics in the AI era.
Focus: Search Economics
Capex & margin trajectory
With free cash flow under pressure from US$185bn capex, markets want to know when infrastructure investment will moderate.
Watch: Spending Ceiling
DOJ antitrust risk
Management commentary on the legal timeline for Chrome or Android divestiture appeals will influence how risk is priced.
Watch: Regulatory Remedies
Sentiment Analysis · Alphabet Inc.

Interactive scenario analysis: $GOOGL
Select earnings outcome
Efficiency Proof

Ironwood efficiency drives upside

EPS above US$2.80 and cloud growth above 45% suggest Ironwood is cutting costs and strengthening Google’s advantage faster than expected.
EPS outcome
Above US$2.80
Cloud Signal
Strong growth
Waymo
Accelerating
Reaction
Sentiment improves
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 16 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

NVIDIA: the hardware cycle read through

NVIDIA is no longer simply a chip company. It has become what analysts now describe as the central bank of compute, the entity whose product determines how much AI capacity the world can actually deploy.

The upcoming Q1 FY2027 result will test whether the new Vera Rubin R100 GPU architecture, which entered mass production ahead of schedule, is already contributing to revenue, and whether NVIDIA can sustain gross margins above 75% as inference, rather than training, becomes the dominant workload. Inference is more competitive and more price-sensitive than training, so margin resilience here matters.

$NVDA | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

NVIDIA Corporation

NASDAQ | Semiconductors | 20 May 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$1.70
Consensus Revenue
US$78.42bn
AU/ASIA 21 May | 6:30 am
US/LATAM 20 May | 4:30 pm
Market Intelligence: $NVDA

Analysis: NVIDIA price drivers and scenarios
Revenue growth
73% YoY
Last quarter benchmark
Data centre share
91%+
Share of total revenue
Rubin R100
In production
Mass production began April 2026
AVG
LOW US$76bn AVG US$78bn HIGH US$81bn+

NVIDIA’s outlook depends on whether Rubin R100 can keep gross margins above 75% as inference becomes a bigger part of demand. Because inference is more price-sensitive than training, margins are the key test.

Factors that could move the markets

Rubin ramp-up
Watch whether Rubin production can scale smoothly without disrupting the Blackwell transition.
Signal: supply chain continuity
Inference margins
The key test is whether NVIDIA can keep gross margins above 75% as inference revenue grows.
Signal: pricing power holds up
Sovereign AI demand
Government-backed investment in Europe and the Middle East could broaden the base beyond hyperscalers.
Signal: market expansion
CUDA regulatory risk
Any US or European scrutiny of NVIDIA’s software advantage could move the stock regardless of the revenue result.
Signal: software moat under review
Sentiment Analysis · NVIDIA Corp.

Interactive scenario analysis: $NVDA
Select earnings outcome
Rubin ramp supports growth

Rubin ramp supports growth

Revenue above US$81 billion may suggest the Rubin ramp is tracking ahead of expectations. That could support the view that AI demand is broadening into sovereign AI and enterprise markets, helping extend visibility into 2027.
Revenue Outcome
Above US$81bn
Gross Margin
Above 75%
Workload
Inference strong
Reaction
Positive read-through
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 16 April 2026 (AEST). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Thematic Risks

What could shift the picture

Three risks could change the narrative regardless of how the numbers print. Each one is worth understanding before the results land.

Capex fatigue

If both Microsoft and Alphabet report in line or below expectations while reaffirming enormous spending plans, the market may start pricing the risk that AI monetisation is slower than the spending implies. That is not a stock-specific concern. It would be a broader de-rating event, affecting the valuations of companies across the technology sector.

Regulatory escalation

The FTC investigation into Microsoft, the DOJ case against Alphabet, and emerging EU scrutiny of NVIDIA's CUDA software ecosystem are all active. A material legal development before the earnings calls could overshadow the financial results entirely. Regulatory risk in this sector is not theoretical. It is live and moving.

Competition from custom silicon

Microsoft's Maia 200 chip, Alphabet's Ironwood TPU, Amazon's Trainium and Meta's custom accelerators are all reducing how much the large cloud companies depend on NVIDIA hardware. If any of these companies signals a meaningful shift in its GPU procurement plans, that could create uncertainty around NVIDIA's forward order book.

Note: These systemic risks represent thematic pivots that may influence risk appetite independently of headline EPS beats.
The Bottom Line

The 2026 reality check

Microsoft and Alphabet report on the same evening, 29 April. NVIDIA follows in late May. Together, they offer the clearest read yet on whether the AI infrastructure buildout is generating returns fast enough to justify the extraordinary scale of capital being committed.

$MSFT

AI spend is shifting from cost to competitive advantage. The question is whether margins can follow.

$GOOGL

Vertical integration from chips to search to cloud may prove to be a moat, or an expensive position to defend.

$NVDA

This is the pulse of the AI hardware cycle, and a test of whether Rubin can keep the supercycle alive into 2027.

Taken together, they offer a read on a market that looks more physical, more capital-intensive and, for many traders, more real.

Your next earnings setup starts here

Stay ahead of major beats, misses, and market surprises. Log in to your terminal, open a new account, or explore our dedicated earnings academy.

Need help? Contact our support team

GO Markets
•
April 16, 2026
Por qué Tesla NexTera y Exxon importan esta temporada de ganancias, qué ver en las ganancias de Tesla 2026, cómo la demanda de energía de IA afecta a NextERA Energy, qué podrían indicar las ganancias de Exxon Mobil para los mercados petroleros, perspectiva de crecimiento de Tesla Megapack 2026, SiguienteExplicación de la demanda de energía del centro de datos, perspectiva de riesgo de suministro de petróleo de Exxon Mobil, acciones de energía a tener en cuenta en abril de 2026
AI
Commodity
Tesla, NextEra y Exxon: Demanda de petróleo vs IA esta temporada de ganancias en Estados Unidos

La temporada de ganancias de abril en Estados Unidos está aterrizando en un mercado que quiere algo más que una buena historia. Como destacó GO Markets en su reciente lista de seguimiento de ganancias de defensa, este periodo sobre el que se informa llega después de un cambio más amplio en lo que a los mercados les importa. Ya no se trata solo de crecer a cualquier costo. Los comerciantes quieren saber qué dicen los números debajo de la superficie.

Por qué son importantes estos 3 nombres

En esta parte del mercado, eso pone en foco a Tesla, Nextera Energy y Exxon Mobil. Cada uno ofrece una lectura diferente sobre un tema clave 2026: autonomía, demanda de electricidad y riesgo de suministro de petróleo.

  1. ‍Tesla: Se está juzgando sobre si la autonomía y la energía pueden soportar la siguiente etapa de crecimiento
  2. Siguiente A: Ofrece una ventana a la creciente demanda de energía y la infraestructura necesaria para satisfacerla
  3. Exxon Movil: Se encuentra en el centro de la historia de la seguridad del petróleo y la energía, ya que los riesgos de suministro se mantienen en el foco

Tomados en conjunto, estos tres nombres ayudan a explicar dónde puede estar cambiando la atención. La pregunta ya no es solo quién tiene la narrativa más fuerte, más bien, quién puede mostrar demanda real, márgenes más firmes y ejecución que se sostenga en un telón de fondo más complicado.

En 2026, la demanda de energía de IA está empujando a los servicios públicos, el almacenamiento y la capacidad de la red a un enfoque más nítido, mientras que al mismo tiempo, el riesgo del suministro de petróleo ha devuelto la seguridad energética a la conversación del mercado.

IMPORTANT: REPORTING SCHEDULES CAN CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. REPORTING DATES AND RELEASE TIMES ARE FROM COMPANY INVESTOR RELATIONS CALENDARS WHERE MARKED CONFIRMED; OTHERWISE THEY ARE GO MARKETS ESTIMATES. CONSENSUS EPS, REVENUE AND ANALYST-RANGE DATA ARE FROM THIRD-PARTY MARKET CONSENSUS SOURCES, AS OF 14 APRIL 2026 (AEST). COMPANY GUIDANCE, BACKLOG AND OPERATING METRICS ARE FROM THE LATEST COMPANY FILINGS OR RESULTS PRESENTATIONS UNLESS STATED OTHERWISE. FIGURES AND SCHEDULES MAY CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE.

$TSLA | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Tesla Inc.

NASDAQ | Consumer Discretionary | 22 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (AMC)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$0.41
Consensus Revenue
US$22.26bn
AU/ASIA 23 Apr | 6:05 am
US/LATAM 22 Apr | 4:05 pm
Market Intelligence: $TSLA

Analysis: Tesla price drivers and scenarios
Auto Gross Margin
17-19%
Target floor, excl. credits
Megapack Growth
+25% YoY
Projected energy deployment
Analyst range
US$0.32-0.48
EPS estimate range
AVG
LOW US$0.32 AVG US$0.41 HIGH US$0.48

The US$0.16 analyst range shows there is still a lot of uncertainty. The main question is how weaker vehicle deliveries compare with stronger, higher-margin energy storage contributions. A result above US$0.48 would suggest the autonomy and battery story is improving faster than the bear case expects.

Key factors that could move the result

Automotive gross margin
This is the most important number for Tesla’s core business. Markets want to see whether price cuts have started to settle, or whether margins are still under pressure.
Benchmark: 17% (excluding credits)
Energy storage (Megapacks)
This is the more durable growth story. Strong Megapack deployment and battery margins could help offset weaker vehicle deliveries
Focus: Storage growth versus pressure in the auto business
Full Self-Driving (FSD) & Robotaxi
This is the main narrative driver. Markets will watch for updates on FSD adoption and the robotaxi timeline to judge whether the move towards “physical AI” is becoming more credible.
Watch: Timing for next-generation autonomy technology
Regulatory credits
This is a quality check on the result. If EPS is boosted too much by credit sales, some traders may see the beat as less durable.
Watch: How much credit sales contribute to final EPS
Trade Execution: $TSLA

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026
Bull case
EPS above US$0.45, energy margins at 20%+ | FSD take rates rising
The result clears the top-tier analyst range. Commentary focuses on FSD scaling and Megapack production ramps rather than vehicle discounting. FY26 guidance is reaffirmed.
Possible reaction: stronger momentum, with short covering adding support
Base case
EPS between US$0.38 and US$0.43, auto margins stable | Near target
The result is close to expectations, but there is no major surprise from the energy business. The market stays focused on the robotaxi timeline. The initial move may be limited if the product mix looks unchanged.
Possible reaction: range-bound trading or a muted early response
Bear case
EPS below US$0.35, auto margins drop below 16% | Signs of FSD delays
The result misses even cautious expectations. Rising inventory suggests more discounting may be needed. The market starts to question whether the level of spending on AI and autonomy is too high.
Possible reaction: rotation out of the stock, especially if growth confidence weakens
Sentiment Analysis · Tesla Inc.

Interactive scenario analysis: $TSLA
Select earnings outcome
Growth momentum

Strong result, helped by energy and FSD

FSD and Energy do better than expected, which helps offset weaker car deliveries. Management gives the market more confidence that autonomy is getting closer to real revenue. Auto margins staying above 17% would also help.
EPS Outcome
Above US$0.45
Energy Signal
On track
Margins
At or above 17%
Possible reaction
Strong rally

Sources & Data Methodology Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 14 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings, results presentations or investor relations materials unless stated otherwise. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Expanded Coverage

AI isn’t the only trade this earnings season.

From data centres to defence, see why JPMorgan and the big defence players are on our radar for March.

From autonomy to electricity

If Tesla is the market’s test of whether physical AI can become a business, NextEra is a test of whether the power buildout behind AI is starting to show up more clearly in utility economics.

That is what makes the shift from Tesla to NextEra interesting: one is about ambition and platform narrative and the other is about power, contracts, infrastructure and return on capital.

$NEE | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

NextEra Energy, Inc.

NYSE | Utilities | 23 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$0.91
Consensus Revenue
US$7.17bn
AU/ASIA 23 Apr | 9:35 pm
US/LATAM 23 Apr | 7:35 am
Market Intelligence: $NEE

Analysis: NEE price drivers and scenarios
Backlog
About 29.8 GW
Total Energy Resources backlog
Growth target
8%+ a year
Adjusted EPS growth through 2032
Analyst range
US$0.88-1.06
Q1 EPS estimate range
AVG
LOW US$0.88 AVG US$0.92 HIGH US$1.06

The main question is simple: can NextEra turn big growth plans into real progress? Traders want to see whether rising power demand, especially from AI, is starting to show up in results, contracts and project execution.

Trade Execution: $NEE

Key signals to watch
Contract conversion
One of the biggest proof points. Markets want to see whether strong customer interest is turning into signed agreements and clearer revenue visibility.
Signal: More large-load agreements signed
Natural gas and power buildout
Traders will watch for clearer milestones on the approved gas buildout and capacity plan to meet rising power demand.
Focus: Buildout timeline and project execution
Funding and capital discipline
Investors will want to know whether funding plans look manageable after the recent equity raise and the impact of financing costs.
Watch: Funding risk and capital pressure
Rate base and earnings outlook
Markets look for healthy rate-base growth and signs that rising demand can support long-term earnings growth.
Focus: Guidance, rate-base growth and EPS visibility
Sentiment Analysis · NextEra Energy

Interactive scenario analysis: $NEE
Select earnings outcome
Upside momentum

Strong result, backed by real progress

EPS comes in above US$1.06. Management shows better contract progress and clearer steps on new power projects. That would suggest the backlog is moving closer to real revenue.
EPS Outcome
Above US$1.06
Infrastructure Signal
More contracts signed
Possible reaction
Sentiment improves
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 14 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings or results presentations. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

From power to oil

If NextEra reflects the electricity side of the real economy story, Exxon Mobil reflects the fuel side. That matters in a market where supply risk can still reset inflation expectations, shift sector leadership and change how traders think about defensiveness.

$XOM | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Exxon Mobil Corporation

NYSE | Energy | 1 May 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$1.66
Consensus Revenue
US$82.47bn
AU/ASIA 1 May | 8:30 pm
US/LATAM 1 May | 6:30 am
Market Intelligence: $XOM

Analysis: XOM price drivers and scenarios
Liquids pricing effect
US$1.9-2.3bn
Support from stronger oil prices
Energy products timing
-US$3.3-4.1bn
Downstream timing drag
Analyst range
US$1.60-$1.85
Q1 EPS estimate range
AVG
LOW US$1.60 AVG US$1.66 HIGH US$1.85

The key question for Exxon Mobil is straightforward: can stronger oil and gas pricing offset weaker volumes and downstream pressure? For traders, this is a test of earnings quality, if prices do the lifting, the market may still want proof that operations are holding up.

Trade Execution: $XOM

Key signals to watch
Realised pricing
Markets want to see whether stronger oil and gas prices were enough to offset weaker production volumes.
Signal: Price strength vs Volume pressure
Timing and quality
Commentary on whether the downstream timing drag is temporary or a sign of deeper margin pressure.
Focus: Accounting effect vs Headwind
Guyana and Upstream
Markets want steady production growth from Guyana to keep the long-term story intact.
Watch: Delivery and Resilience
Refining margins
Even if crude helps, weaker refining or chemicals performance could limit the overall upside.
Focus: Downstream offset levels
Sentiment Analysis · Exxon Mobil

Interactive scenario analysis: $XOM
Select earnings outcome
Pricing offsets disruption

Strong result, with pricing support doing enough

EPS above US$1.85. Higher realised pricing more than offsets weaker volumes, and management suggests timing drag was less severe than expected. Upstream updates stay constructive.
EPS Outcome
Above US$1.85
Timing Impact
Smaller than feared
Possible reaction
Sentiment improves
Sources & Data Methodology

Sources: Reporting dates from company investor relations calendars; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers as at 14 April 2026 (AEDT). Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

The Bottom Line

The 2026 Reality Check

This late-April energy cluster is about more than three company reports. It is a live test of what the market wants to pay for in 2026.

Tesla ($TSLA)

Autonomy and energy shifting from promise to proof.

NextEra ($NEE)

Electricity demand turning into practical utility growth.

Exxon ($XOM)

Oil strength translating into durable earnings power.

Taken together, they offer a useful read on the part of the market that looks more physical, more capital-intensive and, for many traders, more real.

Your next earnings setup starts here

Stay ahead of major beats, misses, and market surprises. Log in to your terminal, open a new account, or explore our dedicated earnings academy.

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GO Markets
•
April 15, 2026
US Earnings
AI
Defensa, disrupción y grandes finanzas: 3 nombres que vale la pena ver esta temporada de ganancias

Entonces aquí está la cosa: la temporada de ganancias en Estados Unidos de abril está llegando a un mercado que aún se siente cualquier cosa menos normal. Como explica GO Markets en El manual global de ganancias de Estados Unidos: la guía esencial para los comerciantes, este periodo sobre el que se informa está aterrizando después de un cambio real en lo que a los mercados les importa. Ya no se trata solo de perseguir el crecimiento a cualquier costo. Se trata de lo que dicen los números debajo de la superficie.

Y en 2026, esas señales están chocando con un telón de fondo de alta fricción:

  1. Conflicto geopolítico: Tensión continua en Oriente Medio
  2. Choque de suministro de aceite: Crudo Brent por encima de US$100
  3. La Fed: Un banco central sigue encerrado por una inflación pegajosa

El pivote de durabilidad

Sí, la IA sigue siendo la historia principal del mercado pero sigue siendo el motor llamativo que recibe la mayor parte de la atención. Pero debajo de eso, hay un movimiento más silencioso hacia empresas que parecen construidas para aguantar mejor cuando las condiciones se vuelven más difíciles.

Cuando las tarifas son inciertas y los mercados energéticos están bajo presión, nombres como JPMorgan Chase y los principales contratistas de defensa comienzan a tener más peso. No están reemplazando la narrativa de IA, más bien, se están convirtiendo en parte de la forma en que los comerciantes leen el apetito de riesgo, la durabilidad de las ganancias y, en última instancia, donde el mercado busca algo más sólido a lo que aferrarse.

! Important: Reporting schedules can change without notice. Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are from third-party market consensus sources, as of 7 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are from the latest company filings or results presentations unless stated otherwise. Figures and schedules may change without notice.
$JPM | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

NYSE | Financial Services | 14 Apr 2026
Confirmed

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$5.42
Consensus Revenue
US$47.88bn
AU/ASIA 14 Apr | 8:45 pm
US/LATAM 14 Apr | 6:45 am
Market Intelligence: $JPM

Analysis: JPM price drivers and scenarios
NII guidance
~US$103 billion
Full year | US$95 billionn ex:markets
ROTCE target
17%
Possible return on tangible common equity
Analyst range
US$5.02-5.70
Low to high estimate spread
AVG
LOW US$5.02 AVG US$5.39 HIGH US$5.70

The analyst spread of US$0.68 signals genuine disagreement about how the rate environment is flowing through to margins. A result above consensus but below the high end estimate may produce a muted reaction. A result above US$5.70 may shift the discussion.

Key swing factors for the result

Net interest income (NII)
The clearest macro lever. It reflects the gap between lending rates and deposit costs.
Guidance: US$103 billion for the full year
Return on tangible common equity (ROTCE)
A scale check. It indicates whether JPM is converting scale into efficiency. 17% is the benchmark.
Target: 17% ROTCE
Trading and investment banking
Strong Q1 growth was expected in fees and markets revenue. These lines can offset softness in lending, and stronger-than-expected performance here may shift the narrative away from rate sensitivity.
Watch: investment banking (IB) fees versus the prior quarter
Expense discipline
A bank can beat the EPS estimate and still sell off if expense growth is running too hot. Pairing the EPS result with the expense trajectory gives a fuller read on whether the beat is durable.
Watch: Expense outlook commentary
Trade Execution: $JPM

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026
Bull case
EPS above US$5.70, NII on track | ROTCE at or above 17%
The result comes in above the top of the analyst range. NII guidance holds or is revised higher. IB fees and markets revenue show strong Q1 growth. Expense commentary is constructive.
Possible reaction: momentum and repositioning
Base case
EPS between US$5.39 and US$5.70, NII in line | ROTCE near target
The result beats consensus but stays within the expected range. NII tracks guidance. The tone of the conference call may matter more than the headline number. The first move may fade if guidance is unchanged.
Possible reaction: muted or mixed initial response
Bear case
EPS below US$5.39 | NII misses | Expense growth surprises
The result comes in at or below the consensus midpoint. NII guidance is cut or qualified. Expense growth comes in above market expectations. IB or markets revenue disappoints.
Possible reaction: earnings multiple repricing

Reaction trigger to watch: The market response in the first 30 minutes after the result may indicate which scenario traders are leaning towards. A move above the prior session high on volume may support the bull case. A fade back into the range after an initial pop may point to the base case. A break below the prior session low on volume may suggest the bear case is gaining traction.

Sentiment Analysis · JPMorgan Chase

Interactive scenario analysis: $JPM
Select earnings outcome
Growth momentum

AI-linked offset, beat supported by NII and ROTCE

Stronger-than-expected demand for AI-related industrial lending may offset softer mortgage activity. Management maintains guidance as NII remains resilient in higher-for-longer conditions. IB fees and markets revenue may provide additional support. ROTCE at or above 17% would suggest the bank is converting scale into earnings efficiently.
EPS Outcome
Above US$5.70
NII Signal
On track
ROTCE
At or above 17%
Likely Reaction
Momentum may build

Sources & Data Methodology Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 7 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings, results presentations or investor relations materials unless stated otherwise. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

From credit to defence

If JPMorgan gives the market an early read on the consumer, credit quality and business activity, the defence names may be telling a different story. This is the point where the focus may start to shift from the credit cycle to government-backed demand.

In a market still shaped by geopolitical risk, that matters. Long-dated programs can help support revenue visibility, even when the broader outlook looks less certain. That is one reason the sector remains on the watchlist.

$LMT | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Lockheed Martin Corp.

NYSE | Aerospace | Defense | 22 Apr 2026
Estimated

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$6.50
Consensus Revenue
US$16.32bn
AU | ASIA 22 Apr | 9:20 pm
US | LATAM 22 Apr | 7:20 am
Market Intelligence: $LMT

Analysis: LMT price drivers and scenarios
Order backlog
US$194 billionn
Record visibility
Book-to-bill
1.2x
Orders outpacing sales
Analyst range
US$6.90-7.10
Low to high estimate spread
AVG
LOW ~US$6.90 AVG ~US$6.94 HIGH US$7.10+

The consensus sits near the lower end of the analyst range. That positioning may leave room for upside if backlog growth and F-35 delivery timelines support execution. A print near the high end, above US$7.10, may extend the move, although the reaction would still depend on guidance and margins.

Key swing factors for the result

Backlog visibility
Primary evidence of demand. Book-to-bill above 1.2x would support full-year guidance and the production ramp.
Backlog: US$194 billion record
Free cash flow (FCF)
Defence stocks are often assessed on cash conversion. The market may look for confirmation of the US$6.5 billion floor.
Guide: US$6.5 billion - $6.8 billion
Missile segment growth
PrSM and THAAD deliveries remain key watchpoints. Strong space margins may help offset softness in aeronautics.
Watch: Fire Control margins
Margin pressure
Pension charges and production inflation remain risks. An earnings beat may fade if operating margins contract.
Watch: segment operating margin
Trade Execution: $LMT

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026
Bull case
EPS above US$6.70, backlog visibility confirmed | FCF guide holds
The result clears the upper half of the analyst range. Management reaffirms or raises the full-year FCF outlook. Strong Missiles and Fire Control (MFC) margins help offset any aeronautics supply chain lag.
Possible reaction: momentum may build and positioning may improve
Base case
EPS between US$6.30 and US$6.70 | Backlog steady at about US$194 billion
The result aligns with the US$6.38 consensus. F-35 delivery pace remains on track but offers no meaningful upside surprise. The market may wait for more specific segment guidance on the conference call.
Possible reaction: muted or mixed initial response
Bear case
EPS below US$6.30 | FCF guide qualified, margin contraction
The result falls towards the bottom of the analyst spread. Management cites further software delays or program losses. The FCF trajectory narrows towards the lower end of previous expectations.
Possible reaction: the share price may come under pressure

Reaction trigger to watch: The market response in the first 30 minutes after the result may indicate which scenario traders are leaning towards. A move above the prior session high on volume may support the bull case. A fade back into the range after an initial pop may point to the base case. A break below the prior session low on volume may suggest the bear case is gaining traction.

Sentiment Analysis · Lockheed Martin

Interactive scenario analysis: $LMT
Select earnings outcome
Backlog confirmed

Backlog and FCF confirmation may support continuation

EPS clears the top of the analyst range. Backlog holds at or above US$194 billion and book-to-bill stays above 1.2, which would suggest orders are replenishing faster than revenue is being recognised. FCF guidance holds within the stated range.
EPS outcome
Above US$7.00
Backlog signal
Above US$194 billion
FCF guide
Holds or improves
Likely reaction
Continuation may follow

Sources & Data Methodology Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 7 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings, results presentations or investor relations materials unless stated otherwise. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Not all defence names are the same

Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman may sit in the same defence bucket, but the market does not always read them the same way. Lockheed is more closely tied to the F-35 and current air combat demand. Northrop is more closely linked to next-generation programs such as the B-21 Raider and Sentinel.

That gives this section its contrast. One is often read through the lens of current defence demand. The other is more closely tied to longer-cycle strategic modernisation.

$NOC | Q1 2026 REPORTING PERIOD

Northrop Grumman Corp.

NYSE | Defense | Space Systems | 23 Apr 2026
Estimated

Global Release Countdown (BMO)

00:00:00:00
Consensus EPS
US$6.12
Consensus Revenue
US$10.24 bn
AU | ASIA 23 Apr | 10:30 pm
US | LATAM 23 Apr | 8:30 am
Market Intelligence: $NOC

Analysis: NOC price drivers and scenarios
Consensus EPS
US$6.96
Quarterly analyst average
Order Backlog
US$95.7 billion
Record revenue visibility
FY 2026 EPS guide
US$27.40-US$27.90
Full-year 2026 outlook
AVG
LOW ~US$6.90 AVG ~US$6.96 HIGH US$7.20+

The consensus sits near the lower end of the analyst range. That offers a quick visual for whether the result is merely in line or strong enough to ease the guidance concerns that weighed on the stock after its last update. A result above US$7.20 may shift the conversation more materially.

Key swing factors for the result

Book-to-bill ratio
Currently at 1.10, suggesting orders are still running ahead of revenue recognition. This remains an important signal for multi-year growth visibility in defence.
Watch: 1.10 target
Guidance reset risk
Management’s guidance previously came in below market expectations. The market may be sensitive to any further softening in the 2026 outlook.
Watch: guidance commentary
Program concentration
The B-21 Raider and Sentinel carry outsized execution sensitivity. Updates on production ramp and funding may be the clearest drivers of sentiment for the stock.
Watch: B-21 and Sentinel updates
Capacity investment
Higher capital expenditure (capex) supports the industrial base over the longer term, but it may pressure near-term margins. Watch for signs that current investment is weighing on earnings power.
Watch: operating margins
Trade Execution: $NOC

Earnings reaction framework: Q1 2026
Bull case
EPS above US$6.30, backlog expansion above US$96 billion | Free cash flow (FCF) guidance raised
The result comes in above the cited threshold. Management says B-21 Raider production is ahead of schedule, with improving margins. Sentinel program restructuring costs remain below baseline expectations. International awards lift the book-to-bill ratio above 1.15.
Possible reaction: momentum may improve
Base case
EPS between US$6.00 and US$6.20, backlog steady at about US$95.7 billion
The result is broadly in line with the cited range. FCF targets for 2026 are reaffirmed but not expanded. Market focus shifts to organic sales growth metrics and segment operating margins. The initial reaction may depend on the timing of B-21 milestone payments.
Possible reaction: little reaction
Bear case
EPS below US$5.95 | margin pressure, guidance narrowed
The result lands near the low end of the analyst spread. Management flags higher infrastructure costs for Sentinel or delays in restricted space segment awards. Margin pressure in Aeronautics persists, and the 2026 revenue guide narrows towards the US$43.5 billion floor.
Possible reaction: shares may weaken

Reaction trigger to watch: The market response in the first 30 minutes after the result may indicate which scenario traders are leaning towards. A move above the prior session high on volume may support the bull case. A fade back into the range after an initial pop may point to the base case. A break below the prior session low on volume may suggest the bear case is gaining traction.

Sentiment Analysis · Northrop Grumman

Interactive scenario analysis: $NOC
Select earnings outcome
Stealth momentum

B-21 momentum, stronger execution and FCF support

EPS clears US$6.15. Management confirms a production capacity agreement for the B-21 Raider. Sentinel restructuring reaches Milestone B on schedule. Record backlog visibility and higher FCF guidance towards US$3.5 billion may support broader repositioning.
EPS outcome
Above US$6.15
B-21 Signal
Acceleration
FCF guide
$3.5 billionn range
Likely reaction
Momentum rally

Sources & Data Methodology Sources: Reporting dates and release times are from company investor relations calendars where marked Confirmed; otherwise they are GO Markets estimates. Consensus EPS, revenue and analyst-range data are sourced from Bloomberg and Earnings Whispers, as at 7 April 2026 (AEDT). Company guidance, backlog and operating metrics are sourced from the latest company filings, results presentations or investor relations materials unless stated otherwise. Any scenario analysis reflects GO Markets analysis. Figures and schedules may change without notice.

Bottom line

In a market shaped by geopolitical risk and shifting rate expectations, companies with visible demand and longer-cycle revenue may continue to attract attention. But sentiment can still turn quickly if valuations are stretched, rate expectations shift again, or tensions in the Middle East ease.

That is why the story still needs to be tested against the numbers, not just the narrative. GO Markets will be analysing more companies throughout this earnings season. For more updates, visit our earnings page, follow our social media channels, or check the weekly newsletters.

Your next earnings setup starts here

Stay ahead of major beats, misses, and market surprises. Log in to your terminal, open a new account, or explore our dedicated earnings academy.

Need help? Contact our support team

GO Markets
•
April 7, 2026
US Earnings
Shares
El manual global de ganancias de Estados Unidos: la guía esencial para los comerciantes

Si ha estado observando los mercados durante el último año, habrá notado que la era del “crecimiento a cualquier costo” efectivamente ha chocado contra una pared. El ciclo de ganancias de abril de 2026 llega en un momento en que el foco del mercado ha sufrido una reorientación estructural. Ya no se trata solo de estados de pérdidas y ganancias. Se trata de las señales que se sientan detrás de ellos.

Con la incertidumbre de las tasas de interés persistente y los choques geopolíticos que empujan al petróleo por encima de los 100 dólares, el manual de jugadas ha pasado de la exageración de la IA hacia la resiliencia institucional y la industrialización de la computación. Para los comerciantes de Australia, Asia y América Latina, estos resultados pueden actuar como un anillo de ánimo para el apetito de riesgo global y el emergente superciclo de seguridad.

Important - Dates, Times and Figures

All earnings dates marked as confirmed or estimated should be verified against current company investor relations calendars before you act on them. Reporting schedules can change without notice due to corporate decisions, regulatory requirements or exchange timetable adjustments.

The mechanics: How the timing works across time zones

The US earnings season does not arrive as a smooth drip. It arrives in waves. For non-US traders, the primary challenge is the overnight gap: major results land while you are away from your desk and can move index CFDs before your local market opens. Before market open (BMO) and after market close (AMC) matter just as much as the numbers themselves. The timing changes how quickly markets react, when liquidity is available and whether the first move has already happened before your session begins.

Por qué son importantes las BMO y AMC

Un resultado de BMO golpea antes de que se abra el mercado de efectivo estadounidense, por lo que el descubrimiento de precios ocurre en las operaciones previas al mercado donde la liquidez es más delgada y los movimientos pueden ser exagerados. Un resultado de AMC golpea después del cierre, lo que significa que la reacción se comprime en una breve ventana previa a la comercialización a la mañana siguiente. Entender en qué ventana reporta tu empresa es tan importante como entender lo que reporta.

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The key themes for Q1

For this cycle, the market is no longer rewarding AI mentions alone. It is looking for return on investment (ROI) proof. The four thematic snapshots below help explain where attention is likely to sit as results come through. Each theme has its own section with company cards that can be updated each quarter.

T1
Theme 1 — Institutional anchors

Defence against volatility

These companies are often watched as relative defensives during energy shocks and inflation spikes, although they remain exposed to normal share-price risk. When macro uncertainty rises, money has historically rotated toward businesses with contracted revenue, government-linked demand or pricing power that is not dependent on the consumer cycle — but past rotation patterns do not guarantee future performance.

JPM
JPMorgan Chase
Tuesday, 14 April Confirmed
Watch For

Net interest margin (NIM) under higher for longer rates, and whether AI spending remains cost neutral.

LMT
Lockheed Martin
Wednesday, 22 April Estimated
Watch For

F-35 delivery schedules and the company's ability to absorb tariff related costs on supply chain inputs.

NOC
Northrop Grumman
Monday, 27 April Confirmed
Watch For

B-21 Raider production progress and the conversion of its reported US$95.7 billion backlog into recognised revenue.

T2
Theme 2 — Tangible capital

EVs and energy

As parts of tech slow, investors have been rotating toward tangible, capital-intensive businesses. The energy transition and the infrastructure required to support AI data centre power demand have put utilities and energy companies in an unusual position: they are now growth stocks with defensive characteristics — though all remain subject to ordinary equity and sector risk.

TSLA
Tesla
Thursday, 23 April Confirmed
Watch For

The strategic shift from EV margins toward robotaxi and energy storage as the new growth narrative.

NEE
NextEra Energy
Friday, 24 April Estimated
Watch For

Data centre power demand and progress on its reported 30 GW contracted backlog as utilities face new infrastructure pressure.

XOM
Exxon Mobil
Wednesday, 29 April Estimated
Watch For

Permian and Guyana volume growth, and cash flow resilience during the Hormuz supply disruption.

T3
Theme 3 — The hardware invoice phase

AI infrastructure

This is the engine room of the S&P 500 and the part of the market most tied to whether AI capital expenditure is generating measurable returns. The question the market is now asking is not whether these companies are spending on AI. It is whether the spending is translating into capacity utilisation and revenue that justifies the multiple.

MSFT / GOOGL
Microsoft and Alphabet
Monday, 27 April Estimated
Watch For

Azure and Cloud capacity constraints against heavy AI capital expenditure. The gap between spending and utilisation is the market's primary concern.

NVDA
NVIDIA
Wednesday, 27 May Estimated
Watch For

Blackwell GPU demand and gross margin sustainability as the product cycle matures and competition intensifies.

T4
Theme 4 — K-shaped recovery

Consumer platforms and devices

This theme tests the K-shaped consumer recovery: higher-income cohorts remain more resilient while lower-income cohorts face continued pressure from elevated borrowing costs and energy prices. Ad revenue and device upgrade cycles are the clearest indicators of where on the K-curve the consumer sits.

META / AMZN
Meta and Amazon
28 to 29 April Estimated
Watch For

AI-driven ad click improvements against Reality Labs spending and retail logistics costs as the profitability test for non-core investment.

AAPL
Apple
Thursday, 30 April Estimated
Watch For

iPhone upgrade cycle momentum and the Apple Intelligence rollout in China as the first real-world test of AI-driven hardware demand.

Analysis checklist: how to read each result

Use this structure for every company on your watchlist. A headline beat is common. The bigger market move often comes from how the market translates the details sitting behind the number.

1
Projected consensus

This is the bar for earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. Small beats may already be priced in. The market often sets a whisper number above the published consensus, so a technically positive result can still disappoint.

2
The call focus

Identify the single variable analysts are most focused on this cycle: capital expenditure versus margins, inventory turnover, customer growth rate, or contract backlog conversion.

3
The translation

A beat, meet or miss each carries a different market dynamic.

Beat Matters most when forward guidance is credible. Without it, the initial move may reverse.
Meet Often shifts focus to the tone of the call, particularly language around capacity or outlook.
Miss Can be treated as the start of a trend and trigger a sharp repricing of valuation multiples.

The recency bias problem

The emotional trap many traders fall into is recency bias. Because the Magnificent 7 have led markets for so long, it can feel as though they are still the only trade that matters. That assumption deserves to be tested.

Vale la pena preguntar: ¿El comercio obvio ya tiene un precio para la perfección?

2026 se perfila como un año de pruebas. Ahora se les pide a las empresas que gastaron mucho en IA en los últimos dos años que muestren el retorno. El mercado ya no está recompensando el anuncio de inversión en IA. Está recompensando la evidencia de los resultados de ingresos impulsados por la IA.

Una mejor pregunta de encuadre para cada resultado es esta: ¿está reaccionando a un titular, o está evaluando el papel de la compañía en la cadena de suministro física de IA o como una posible cobertura de volatilidad? Esas son tareas analíticas muy diferentes, y tienden a producir decisiones de posicionamiento muy diferentes.

What to watch next

Three time horizons, three distinct signals. Update these each cycle with the most relevant near-term catalyst, the sector rotation to watch, and the longer-horizon dispersion theme.

Next Two Weeks
Consumer health barometer

Watch the 31 March Nike report as a lead indicator for consumer discretionary health. Footwear and apparel demand signals tend to front-run broader retail sentiment.

Next 30 Days
Bank lending and industrial demand

Focus shifts to the major banks. If loan demand tied to industrial and infrastructure projects remains firm, the earnings cycle may have support beyond the tech sector.

Next 60 Days
Wider dispersion between winners and losers

Watch for dispersion to widen. The companies converting heavy capital expenditure into measurable revenue outcomes may separate clearly from those that cannot.

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GO Markets
•
March 31, 2026
US Earnings
Market insights
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): perspectivas de ganancias en Estados Unidos

Fecha prevista de ganancias: Miércoles, 25 de febrero de 2026 (EE.UU., después del cierre del mercado)/~ 8:00 a.m., jueves 26 de febrero de 2026 (AEDT)

Se espera que la próxima publicación de ganancias de NVIDIA gire en torno al crecimiento de los ingresos del centro de datos, la sostenibilidad de la demanda relacionada con la IA, la trayectoria del margen bruto y la orientación hacia el futuro en el año fiscal 2027 (año fiscal 2027).

Es probable que los mercados se centren en las tendencias de gasto de capital, la capacidad de suministro y las perspectivas de infraestructura de IA de la administración.

Algunos participantes del mercado también pueden ver los resultados de NVIDIA como una señal útil para un sentimiento de inversión más amplio relacionado con la IA, aunque los resultados aún pueden verse influenciados por factores específicos de la compañía y condiciones más amplias del mercado.

Áreas clave en el enfoque

Centro de datos (chips de IA)

El segmento de data centers sigue siendo el principal impulsor de crecimiento de NVIDIA. Es probable que los mercados supervisen las tasas de crecimiento de los ingresos, los márgenes brutos y la orientación en torno a la demanda de aceleradores de IA.

Juegos

NVIDIA también vende tarjetas gráficas para PC gaming. Los mercados observarán si esta parte del negocio se mantiene estable y rentable, particularmente junto con las tendencias más amplias del ciclo de consumo y PC.

Visualización Automotriz y Profesional

Se trata de divisiones más pequeñas vinculadas al desarrollo de IA, software de diseño y conducción autónoma. Por lo general, no son el principal impulsor de los resultados a corto plazo, pero es posible que se observen comentarios para detectar signos de crecimiento a más largo plazo e impulso del producto.

Márgenes de beneficio y costos

Los mercados evaluarán qué tan rentable sigue siendo NVIDIA, particularmente a medida que continúan las inversiones relacionadas con la IA y el escalamiento de la oferta. Los márgenes son un factor que se observa de cerca junto con el crecimiento de los ingresos, la orientación y el sentimiento de riesgo más amplio.

Lo que pasó el último trimestre

En su actualización trimestral más reciente, NVIDIA reportó un fuerte crecimiento interanual de ingresos, liderado principalmente por la demanda de data centers.

Los comentarios de la administración y los informes posteriores se referenciaron a la fortaleza continua en la demanda de aceleradores de IA y se referenciaron a iniciativas continuas de escalamiento de la oferta.

Últimas ganancias: aspectos más destacados

  • Ingresos: US$57.0 mil millones
  • Ganancias por acción (EPS): US$1.30 (diluido)
  • Ingresos del data center: US$51.2 mil millones
  • Margen bruto: 73,4%
  • Ingresos operativos: US$36.0 mil millones
Ingresos de NVIDIA en el tercer trimestre del año fiscal 25 - tercer trimestre del año fiscal 26 | Presentación para inversores de NVIDIA

‍

Lo que los analistas esperan este trimestre

Las estimaciones de consenso de Bloomberg apuntan a un crecimiento continuo de los ingresos interanual en el próximo informe, con mercados enfocados en el desempeño del centro de datos y la orientación a futuro para el año fiscal 2027.

Punto de referencia de consenso de Bloomberg:

  • EPS: alrededor de US$1.52
  • Ingresos: cerca de 65.500 millones de dólares
  • EPS del año fiscal 2027 para todo el año fiscal: alrededor de US$7.66

*Todos los puntos anteriores observados al 16 de febrero de 2026.

En términos generales, los analistas esperan una demanda sostenida relacionada con la IA, mientras que la atención se mantiene en la dinámica de la oferta y el ritmo de cualquier normalización de la demanda.

Expectativas implícitas del mercado

Las opciones enumeradas eran el precio de un movimiento indicativo de aproximadamente ± 7% a ± 8% en torno a la publicación de ganancias, basada en las estimaciones de movimiento esperado implícitas de opciones en el dinero (ATM) casi fechadas. La volatilidad implícita fue de aproximadamente 48% anualizado.

Lo que esto significa para los inversores australianos

Las ganancias de NVIDIA pueden influir en el sentimiento y la volatilidad a corto plazo en los principales índices bursátiles de Estados Unidos, incluido el NASDAQ 100, con un potencial derrame en la sesión de Asia tras el lanzamiento.

También puede influir en el sentimiento hacia las empresas expuestas a la tecnología y los ETF que cotizan en ASX con exposición a los sectores de crecimiento de gran capitalización de Estados Unidos, aunque las correlaciones pueden cambiar rápidamente en torno a eventos importantes.

Los inversores con sede en Australia también pueden desear tener en cuenta Movimientos de divisas AUD/USD, lo que puede afectar a la traducción en moneda local de las renta variable extraterritorial y los ETF.

Nota de riesgo importante

Inmediatamente después del cierre de Estados Unidos y al comienzo de la sesión de Asia, los futuros del Nasdaq 100 (NDX) y los precios de CFD relacionados pueden reflejar una liquidez más delgada, diferenciales más amplios y una refijación de precios más nítida en torno a la nueva información.

Dicho entorno puede aumentar el riesgo de brecha y la incertidumbre de ejecución en relación con las condiciones de horas regulares.

Mike Smith
•
February 17, 2026