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Dolar Singapura: Jeda kebijakan dengan pertumbuhan yang kuat – Commerzbank
Charlie Lay mencatat bahwa Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) Kuartal III Singapura melampaui ekspektasi sebesar 5,4% tahun-ke-tahun, dengan kekuatan yang merata dan pertumbuhan kemungkinan mendekati batas atas prakiraan pemerintah 4,5–5,5%. Meski aktivitas tetap solid dan risiko inflasi jangka pendek meningkat, Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) secara mengejutkan mempertahankan kebijakan, menjaga jalur apresiasi Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) tidak berubah dan memberi sinyal bahwa ini hanyalah jeda, bukan langkah menuju pelonggaran.
Keputusan MAS mempertahankan kebijakan menjaga SGD tetap didukung
"Pertumbuhan awal PDB Kuartal III Singapura lebih kuat dari yang diprakirakan, yakni 5,4% yoy (konsensus Bloomberg: 5,1%), melambat dari revisi naik 6,2% pada Kuartal II, dari 5,9% pada awalnya."
"Pertumbuhan kemungkinan akan berada di dekat batas atas kisaran ini, dengan kemungkinan revisi naik lebih lanjut pada November."
"Pertumbuhan diprakirakan tetap solid dalam beberapa kuartal ke depan, didukung oleh permintaan terkait AI dan ekspansi kapasitas, sebelum melambat pada H2 2027."
"Dalam kebijakan moneter, Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) secara mengejutkan membiarkan kebijakan tidak berubah, bertentangan dengan ekspektasi akan pengetatan kecil lainnya."
"USD/SGD nyaris tidak berubah setelah pengumuman PDB dan MAS, bertahan di sekitar 1,2800."
(Artikel ini dibuat dengan bantuan alat Kecerdasan Buatan dan ditinjau oleh editor. Pelajari lebih lanjut.)
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